Free NBA Pick: Heat vs 76ers NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the 76ers on Monday April 14 at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat 76ers matchup.
(0-1) Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers (1-0)
Date: Monday April 16
Time: 8:00PM EST
Venue: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
NBA Moneyline Odds: 76ers -325, Miami +260
NBA Betting Odds: 76ers -7
NBA Betting Total: 215.5
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The 76ers took control of the series with a game one win over Miami. At times it was kind of back and forth but Miami could not sustain any hihg level of play for more than a few minutes. Philadelphia continued their run of victories into the playoffs.
At some point that streak is going to end though. How do you play it in game two and where are the values inherent in a team that is getting so much attention?
Miami Heat
The first game of the series really didn’t play out the way I thought it would. With no Joel Embiid I expected the Heat t maximize the advantage they had inside with Hassan Whiteside but it was like he wasn’t even on the floor.
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The bright spot from the loss was the play of reserve Kelly Olynyk who scored 26 points, shooting from outside and driving to the hole. I know they might see those two as either or but I actually think they can play together against Philly which is not uber athletic beyond Ben Simmons.
They also got productive minutes from Dwyane Wade which was nice to see from a nostalgic perspective but really they need more from their starters. Josh Richardson was terrible, -30 for the game.
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James Johnson’s top job is to limit Ben Simmons. He scored a little but he takes bad shots and Simmons was amazing. If he is not going to play better defense they might as well have a better scorer in there.
I truly believed that Miami had a good shot to take the series. After game one I am definitely starting to think I was off base in my assessment.
Philadelphia 76ers
It might have been up and down early but the 76ers proved to be more than up to the task in their first game of the playoffs, extending their long winning streak and showing their young players are ready for the challenge.
Ben Simmons can’t shoot but he was one rebound away from a triple double. It seems obvious to play off him but he still gets into the paint so easy off the dribble. I wonder if the Heat should try some zone everyone once in a while to confuse him. God bless him for knowing his limitations.
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Given the outcome from game one it would be natural for Philadelphia to be overconfident heading into game two. I have to think Miami gives a better effort and also Joel Embiid probably stays on the bench. With the series lead there is really no reason to rush him back to action.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 3-0-1 in 76ers last 4 Monday games.
76ers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
Free Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers NBA Prediction:
In the old days this would have been a classic zig-zags spot with people jumping on Miami after the heat got torched. The numbers don’t back that up as much as they used to.
However, that does not mean that Philly is the way to go. They played great but I have to think the Miami brain trust has something in mind for how to change their fortunes.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Miami +7
The opener is only a half point from G1. That says something. Maybe wait til tipoff and get a 7.5.
NBA Free Score Prediction: Miami 105 – Philadelphia 103
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