Free MLB Pick: Athletics vs Twins Odds
Looking for Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins free plays? MLB betting sees the Athletics taking on the Twins on Wednesday, May 3, 2017 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(11-15) Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins (13-11)
Date: Wednesday, May 3, 2017
Time: 8:10 PM ET
Venue: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
Projected Pitchers: Kendall Graveman vs. Hector Santiago
MLB Moneyline Odds: Oakland -110 | Minnesota +165
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Minnesota -1.5
MLB Betting Total: 8.5
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The moneyball Athletics have made a living out of turning non-prospect pitchers into effective players and eventually assets. Possibly the latest is RHP Kendall Graveman that is in his third big league season, all with the A’s.
Graveman, through 24 innings, is the owner of a 2.25 ERA but not much has changed drastically with his pitching profile, at least not that are easily controlled.
His K rates, BB rates and HR rates are all nearly identical to previous seasons, but what has changed is his strand rate is good enough for 3rd in the league at 91%.
Some would say that this isn’t sustainable, but many other pitchers that strand a lot of batters have something in common; either a high percentage of groundballs or a low percentage of soft contact.
Graveman is getting less groundballs, but is inducing far more soft contact, leading to pop ups and weak fly balls that lead to easy outs.
Hector Santiago is similar in that through the first month of the season, he’s on pace for a career season. He’s averaging nearly 6 innings per outing and holds a 2.43 ERA.
However Santiago’s change can be attributed to having more control over his pitches as he’s walking hitters are a much lower rate, about 1.5 per nine innings, than his career norms.
In addition to having less baserunners, he’s also preventing the long ball, cutting his career rate in half as he’s averaging only 0.61 HR/9.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- OAK are 2-6 in Gravemans last 8 starts.
- Over is 24-8-2 in MIN last 34 games as a favorite.
- Over is 11-5 in the last 16 head to head meetings in Minnesota.
Free Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Prediction:
Both pitchers have found new life this season, however Graveman’s has the appearance of fool’s gold while Santiago appears to have changed something drastic in his pitching profile.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: UNDER 8.5
This could be an underwhelming pitching matchup, with two pitchers that aren’t household names.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Oakland 3 – Minnesota 4
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