Free Week 8 Prediction: Jaguars vs. Trojans Odds
Looking for South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans free picks? Week 8 betting sees the Jaguars taking on the Trojans on Wednesday, October 16th at Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, Alabama. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this South Alabama Troy Week 8 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 8
(1-5) South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans (2-3)
Date: Wednesday, October 16th, 2019
Time: 8:00 pm EST
Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, Alabama
NCAA Football Spread: Troy -14.5
NCAA Betting Total: 56.0
Click here to view… CFB ATS Stats & NCAAF Betting Insight for this game!
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Week eight of the college football season kicks off on Wednesday night as the South Alabama Jaguars take on the Troy Trojans. This is a battle between teams in the Sun Belt. This rivalry is known as the “Battle for the Belt”. Troy leads the all-time series 4-3.
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Troy has won the last two games in this rivalry, winning by a score of 38-17 in 2018.
South Alabama Jaguars
The Jaguars enter this game with just one win on the season. Their only win was back on September 7th, when they beat Jacksonville State 37-14. Since then they have lost four games in a row. They are coming off a bye, so they have had plenty of time to prepare for this rivalry game. They also may be 0-2 in the Sun Belt, but they have at least been somewhat competitive in these two games.
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Overall as a unit, their offense has still been terrible. They are averaging 319 total yards per game. This ranks 118th in the country. In their two Sun Belt games, their average yards per game has dropped to 312.
Scoring wise, they average 16.8 points per game. This ranks 122nd in the country. Specifically in the Sun Belt, they have scored 17 points in their two games.
Now their own strength on offense is running the football. They average 170 yards per game on the ground, 63rd in the country.
The problem is they have been pretty much shut down running the ball in conference play. They gained 53 yards rushing against Georgia Southern and 144 yards against UL Monroe. This averages out to 98.5 yards per game on the ground. With their recent struggles, it is hard to believe they will have much success against the Trojans.
Defensively, the Jags are not the worst in the country, but they are certainly not very good. They allow 29.3 points per game this season, but in the Sun Belt they allow 25 points per game. They are at least facing a familiar team and their biggest rival, so their defense should be ready for this game.
Troy Trojans
The Trojans are 2-3 on the season, and 0-1 in the Sun Belt. They most recently were blown out by Missouri, 42-10.
It is hard to judge the Troy offense against a SEC defense, so it is better to compare them to a team from their conference. Against Arkansas State, a fellow Sun Belt team, they put up 43 points a few weeks ago.
Their passing offense is the key to them winning this game. They threw for 367 yards against Arkansas State. They average 303.6 passing yards per game, 16th in the country.
The defense is an area of concern because they tend to get torched through the air. They allowed 455 yards passing to the Red Wolves, so the secondary must improve.
They are however, allowing just 93.8 rushing yards on the season, so they should have success in this area again against a below average rushing team.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Alabama’s last 6 games.
- South Alabama are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games on the road.
Free Week 8 NCAA Football Pick
Troy has won the last two meetings against the Jaguars and because they are the home team, I like them to make it three in a row.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: UNDER 56
With this being a rivalry game, both sides will likely know the gameplan of their opponent. That said, I like the under to be the play.
Week 8 Free Score Prediction: South Alabama 17 – Troy 27
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