– Last Updated on November 21, 2022 4:13 pm
Free Week 5 Prediction: Tar Heels vs Seminoles Odds
Looking for North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles free picks? Week 5 College football betting sees the Tar Heels taking on the Seminoles Saturday October 3rd at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Florida. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
Week 5
(3-1) North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Florida State Seminoles (3-1)
Date: Saturday, October 3rd
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida
NCAA Football Spread: FSU -11
NCAA Betting Total: 70
Live CFB Odds
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This will be a great matchup of ACC teams as the Tar Heels travel to Tallahassee and face a Florida St. team looking to stay in College Playoff contention.
North Carolina Tar Heels
The Tar Heels have racked up 3 straight wins, and a lot of that has to do with quarterback Mitch Trubisky. He has 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions on the season.
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Against a very good Georgia defense in week 1 he wasn’t able to find the end zone.
Against another strong FSU defense I expect him to have an average game at best.
It wouldn’t surprise me to see him throw his first two interceptions and not reach the 300 yard mark passing.
Running back Elijah hood is a touchdown scoring machine. After racking up 17 scores last season he has 4 on the season. He wasn’t able to do much against the Panthers defense but look for him to have a better game against FSU.
He will get his fifth touchdown of the season and have over 100 total yards.
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To stop the Tar Heels passing attack the FSU defense must keep Ryan Switzer double teamed. Last week against Pitt he had 16 catches for 208 yards and 1 score.
I expect the FSU corners to play more press coverage this week to try and throw off their rhythm.
The Tar Heel defense has not been good this season.
Last week they gave up 36 points to the Panthers and allowed 280 yards rushing. This week they face a Heisman candidate in Dalvin Cook who looks to be hitting his stride as conference play gets in full swing.
Expect another long day for the front seven of North Carolina.
Florida State Seminoles
Outside of his big performance in the comeback win against Ole Miss in week 1, Deondre Francis has been an average QB for the Seminoles.
Last week against South Florida he threw for only 169 yards with a touchdown and was sacked 3 times.
For the season he has been sacked 13 times in 4 games and the O-line must do a better job protecting him this week.
Dalvin Cook started the season off slow, but boy did he make a big impact last week!
He had 267 yards on the ground to go with two touchdowns. He was also a threat through the air with 4 catches for 62 yards.
Expect him to put in another great performance to get his name back into Heisman talk. I’m expecting 250 total yards and another pair of scores.
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The FSU defense had an improvement last week after giving up 63 points to Louisville the week before.
This unit still needs to play be better if they are going to have a chance at the College Football Playoff. I expect a defense that will play with an attitude and get a few turnovers.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Tar Heels are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Tar Heels are 18-39 ATS in their last 57 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Florida State.
- Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Prediction
Dalvin Cook is too much to handle for the Tar Heels, and the Seminole defense forces early turnovers to build a big lead.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: FSU ATS, Under
This one will be close for a quarter, then FSU pulls away.
Week 5 Free Score Prediction: Florida State 38 – North Carolina 20
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