Free Week 11 Prediction: Wolfpack vs Aztecs Odds
Looking for Nevada Wolfpack vs. San Diego State Aztecs free picks? Week 11 betting sees the Cowboys taking on the Aztecs Saturday, November 9th at SDCCU Stadium in San Diego, California. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Nevada San Diego Week 11 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 11
(5-4) Nevada Wolfpack vs. San Diego State Aztecs (7-1)
Date: Saturday, November 9th, 2019
Time: 10:30 pm EST
Venue: SDCCU Stadium, San Diego, California
NCAA Football Spread: San Diego State -17.5
NCAA Betting Total: 39.0
Click here to view… CFB ATS Stats & NCAAF Betting Insight for this game!
This matchup will see the Nevada Wolfpack taking on the San Diego State Aztecs. This is a Mountain West battle.
This will be a late night kickoff, coming at 10:30 PM on the East Coast.
The Wolfpack got a close win last week over New Mexico. It is not like they blew them off the field, only winning 21-10. They now sit at five wins for the season, just one away from bowl eligibility.
They are only 2-3 in the Mountain West, meaning they have no chance to play in the conference title game.
This offense has been brutal this year, averaging just 19.3 points per game. This ranks 119th in the country. Nevada averages 15.6 points per game in conference games, thus showing how bad their offense really is.
The Wolfpack’s only strength on offense if you want to call it that is throwing the football. They are 60th in the country in this category, averaging 237.3 yards per game. They have used about three different quarterbacks and combined their guys have thrown 8 touchdowns compared to 12 interceptions.
The defense for the Wolfpack has been about as bad as the offense. They allow 34.6 points per game, ranking 116th in the country. The defense allows even more points against Mountain West opponents, coming in at 38 points per game.
Their biggest weakness is defending the pass. They are 113th in the country, allowing an average of 268.2 yards per game.
San Diego State Aztecs
The Aztecs are rolling right now, winning their last four games in a row. They are now 4-1 in the conference and as long as they continue winning, they will find themselves in the Mountain West title game.
San Diego State did struggle last week, only beating UNLV by a score of 20-17. Their offense is also not very good, only averaging 21.8 points per game.
Against Mountain West opponents, they are only averaging 22.8 points per game. This could be a game where they break out however because the Nevada defense is just that poor.
The Aztecs defense has looked amazing this season, allowing an average of 14.1 points per game. The most points they have allowed was against Utah State also known as the only team that beat them.
They are best at stopping the run, allowing 70 yards on the ground per game. This is the 3rd best rushing defense in the entire country.
They even defend the pass nicely, ranking 53rd in the country, allowing 213.6 yards per game.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- SDSU are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- SDSU are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
- Under is 6-2 in NEV last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 19-9 in NEV last 28 road games.
- Under is 6-2 in SDSU last 8 home games.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Pick
San Diego State is the much better team and they win this game, but not by as much as the experts may think.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Nevada Wolfpack +17.5
Both offenses are anemic an even though the Nevada defense is one of the worst in the country, there is no way I am laying 17.5 with the Aztecs. This is an ugly dog, but I think Nevada manages to keep this game close enough to cover.
Also, keep in mind that San Diego State has won one game by 17 points or more this season, so they just never create separation.
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: Nevada 14 – San Diego State 24
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