– Last Updated on November 21, 2022 3:28 pm
Free Week 12 Prediction: Midshipmen vs Fighting Irish Odds
Looking for Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Midshipmen taking on the Fighting Irish on Saturday November 18 at Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, Indiana. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Navy Notre Dame free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(6-3) Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-2)
Date: Saturday, November 18
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, Indiana
NCAA Football Spread: Notre Dame -17.5
NCAA Betting Total: 60
Live CFB Odds
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I never bought Notre Dame as playoff worthy but I didn’t expect them to crumble the way they did last week. Doesn’t look like there is a way back in for them either.
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Navy is Navy. They might not get to 10 wins this season but there are no bad losses on their resume. They do what they do and beat Notre Dame last year.
Navy Midshipmen
Navy has close losses to UCF and Memphis and Temple, the latter two on the road. What they don’t have is a signature win…yet. They are not intimidated by Notre Dame, breaking a 5 game losing streak to the Irish last season.
Navy has the top rushing attack in the country – 370ypg. They do pound away at team but they can also break long gainers when defenses lose their focus.
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The defense has been exposed against the better teams on their schedule. Still they held UCF, the top scoring team in the nation to their lowest point total of the season.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
It was on the road but the Irish did more than just lose to Miami. They had a chance to seal their playoff candidacy and laid an egg. The game was probably not as close as the 41-8 final score made it look.
It is still a but surprising but Notre Dame has really focused on the run this season. They always recruit well on the offensive line but normally prefer a balanced approach. With Brandon Wimbush a running QB they are mashing people up front.
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Even though the Canes exposed them it was primarily on the ground. They are not an option team so it is hard to know what that means in terms of this contest. The question is whether they are up for it mentally.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 5-0 in Midshipmen last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Midshipmen are 2-0-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Midshipmen are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
- Over is 5-1 in Fighting Irish last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
I can only imagine what the number would have been here if the Irish were off a win. Unfortunately the deflating loss saps a little value from the underdog.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Navy +17.5
Like I said before, Navy is going to be Navy. The Irish have to be focused on their run defense after last week but this is a different kind of running offense.
The only way I see the Irish covering this number is if they can make multiple big plays in the passing game. I just don’t anticipate that happening.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: Notre Dame 38 – Navy 34
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