– Last Updated on January 25, 2023 3:43 pm
Free Week 11 Prediction: Bears vs Sooners Odds
Looking for Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners free picks? Week 11 College football betting sees the Bears taking on the Sooners on Saturday November 12 at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
Week 11
(6-2) Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners (7-2)
Date: Saturday, November 12
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
NCAA Football Spread: Oklahoma -16
NCAA Betting Total: 80
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For a while there Baylor was a marvel in adversity.
Then they lost to Texas by a point and got hammered by TCU.
Now it looks like the wheels are finally coming off as they have suspended RB Shock Linwood. Still they just might have enough firepower to beat the Sooners in Norman.
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Oklahoma may be an afterthought in the playoff race but with three weeks to go they are perfect in the B12.
They have to keep winning and get lots of help for anything change in terms of the playoffs, especially with Houston falling big time since that opening loss.
Baylor Bears
Baylor is definitely in danger of losing their third in a row this week. Early on it was business as usual but even as they piled up 6 wins to start the season things were not as they were.
The offense has been good but not soul crushingly efficient like they have been the last few seasons. It is interesting how they have become ever more happy to run the ball – they are actually sixth in the nation at 278ypg.
This is one of the most balanced teams in the country and they still have lots of playmakers.
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On defense they have been just OK. While they have been running it at opponents their opponents have been running it right back at them – they are 101st against the run.
That is pretty interesting too given they played with the lead for the first 6 weeks of the season.
Their pass defense is not very good and this week they are taking Baker Mayfield, probably the best quarterback in the conference.
Oklahoma Sooners
This season will be an interesting one to look back on for Oklahoma. Was it a lost opportunity or was this team just good not elite.
Other than the two losses they have looked pretty good and been involved in some exciting games.
The last two weeks have not been great challenges though as they took on Kansas and Iowa State. Hopefully that hasn’t left them flat because underestimating Baylor has been the Sooners downfall of late.
They have lost three of the last five in the series against the Bears.
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Baker Mayfield has been putting up monster numbers this year.
He has definitely found a go to receiver in DeDe Westbrook who has had 6 straight games with 105 yards or more, including two with more than 200, and 12 TD catches.
Running the ball has been a strength too with Joe Mixon assuming the lead role. He will play this week and so might Samaje Perine, who has been out. Together they are a lethal duo.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
- Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Prediction
Even with the Bears struggling I was surprised to see this number get as big as it it. The Bears should be able to run the ball whether they have Linwood or not and they have had success against Oklahoma recently.
I suppose the Sooners could be more motivated as they try and win a conference title.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Over 80.
I am not sure I want to touch that line, though if I did I would go with the road underdogs. I think the better way to go in this one is with the total, even though it is a whopping 80.
Both of these teams are capable of exploding and even if this one gets out of hand one way or the other Baylor like to keep going.
I see both teams scoring 30 easy, perhaps even in the first half.
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: Oklahoma 56 – Baylor 42
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