– Last Updated on December 22, 2022 3:38 pm
Free Week 6 Prediction: Black Knights vs Blue Devils Odds
Looking for Army Black Knights vs. Duke Blue Devils free picks? Week 6 College football betting sees the Black Knights taking on the Blue Devils Saturday October 8th at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, North Carolina. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
Week 6
(3-1) Army Black Knights vs. Duke Blue Devils (2-3)
Date: Saturday, October 8th
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, North Carolina
NCAA Football Spread: Duke -4.0
NCAA Betting Total: 46.0
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Duke followed up their major road upset over Notre Dame by losing at home to Virginia while Army had their bye week following their first loss of the season – an overtime 3 point game to Buffalo.
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Army has gotten off a surprising start while Duke’s offensive struggles appeared to be back again in their first 2 games against FBS opponents.
Duke’s offense has since shown some life with 58 points in the last two games.
Army Black Knights
After averaging less than 3 wins per season from 2011 to 2015, the Black Knights have won 3 games already this season and are hungry for more.
They opened with an upset victory over Temple in Week 1 before piling up convincing wins over Rice and UTEP.
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They dropped a game two weeks ago to Buffalo 23-20 – a game in which the Black Knights were 14 points favorites and led by 14 at halftime.
Their offense fell apart in that second half as they scored 0 points and did nothing to help the defense with a handful of short drives.
The Black Knights use their well-known rushing attack to control the tempo and bang out yards on early downs.
Quarterback Ahmad Bradshaw has thrown the ball just 21 times in 4 games while the team has totaled 276 rushing attempts.
That formula did not work for Army last season against Duke as they averaged just 2.3 yards per carry on 49 attempts and lost 44-3.
Duke outgained the Black Knights by nearly 300 yards in that game and forced three Army turnovers.
Army likely spent their bye week watching plenty of film from that game to ensure that their rushing attack isn’t stifled like it was a year ago.
Duke Blue Devils
Duke’s offense came out of their early season funk by hanging 38 points on Notre Dame in an upset three point victory over the Irish.
However, Notre Dame’s defense has proven to be terrible this season so that isn’t as encouraging as it would have been against recent Notre Dame defenses.
Daniel Jones played a huge part in that victory as he threw for 290 yards and 3 touchdowns in the win.
However, he fell apart last week against Virginia as he threw 5 interceptions and Blue Devils fell by 14 at home.
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Passing the ball is the formula needed to beat Army though as their run defense has performed very well in this young season.
If Jones can’t shake off the scaries from last week, the Duke defense could be spending a lot of time on the field against an Army rushing attack that can wear you down.
Quarterback play is vital for all teams to win but in this game, the weather could play a factor in the decisions to pass the ball. If Jones can’t throw down the field, this will be a low scoring, run dominated game.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 11-5 Army’s last 16 games overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Duke’s last 5 games overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Duke’s last 9 home games..
- Under is 7-2 in Army’s last 9 games following a loss.
Free Week 6 NCAA Football Prediction
46 is not a lot of points but the makeup of this game with the weather, Army’s offensive style, and Duke’s likely hesitancy to put the
ball in the hands of Jones after last week plays perfectly into this game staying low.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Game Total Under 46.0
If this incoming hurricane comes in but the game still is played, the game will be messy. But, low scoring will be very likely as both teams will look to control the tempo and avoid turnovers.
Week 6 Free Score Prediction: Duke 21 – Army 13
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