– Last Updated on June 8, 2018 7:51 am
Free Week 4 Prediction: Falcons vs Aggies Odds
Looking for Air Force Falcons vs. Utah State Aggies free picks? Week 4 College football betting sees the Falcons taking on the Aggies on Saturday September 24th at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium, Logan, Utah. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
Week 4
(2-0) Air Force Falcons vs. (2-1) Utah State Aggies
Date: Saturday, September 24th
Time: 10:15 pm EST
Venue: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium, Logan, Utah
NCAA Football Spread: Air Force -3.5
NCAA Betting Total: 53
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It has been a good year for the service academies this year with a perfect record. Air Force is in a spot where that could be in jeopardy though as they take on Utah State on the road in the MWC.
This is the top rushing team in the nation but Utah State is well aware if their conference foe. Not a lot of surprises.
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Utah State go whacked by the Trojans a couple of weeks ago but when it is all said and done this is likely to be a bowl eligible team.
Whether they are going to be in the mix to compete for the MWC is going to be determined by their next two games, hosting Air Force this week and then going up to Boise State next week.
Air Force Falcons
Air Force did not play last week so they have had two weeks to prepare. Normally that is a good thing but in this case I don’t see it as an extra advantage because The Falcons don’t really tailor their attack to their opponents.
They are the top rushing team in the nation with a whopping 432 yards per game.
In their last game against Georgia State they completed just three passes and still won by 34 points. Last year they rushed for more than 300 yards against Utah State.
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Something weird happened in last year’s game too though. The Falcons passed for 271 yards. Jalen Robinette, who is a tough cover at 6’4″ hauled in 7 catches for 210 yards – no typo there.
He is still on theroster so maybe the Falcons have a few wrinkle up their sleeve for the Aggies.
Conference play is all about execution as it is hard to surprise teams.
Utah State Aggies
The Aggies run a solid program. They were outclassed against USC and it showed but when they play teams at their level they are always very competitive.
They sort of remind me of Virginia Tech under Beamer. They are going to try and play clean football and have enough talent to force you into some things.
Quarterback Kent Myers had a big day when they met a year ago, throwing for more than 400 yards.
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Every Air Force game comes down to whether you can stop the run. If you have some success you have a chance but if you are off your game it will get away quickly.
I give Utah State a decent chance given their experience but we will find out in a hurry. There is a lot riding on this one for the Aggies and they can’t afford a deflating loss.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Aggies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Aggies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Aggies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Free Week 4 NCAA Football Prediction
We will know early on if the Aggies are up to the task. If you like them I would urge you to consider getting on them for a first half or first quarter as sometimes that option offense has a way of wearing down teams.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Air Force
The Falcons will meet some resistance this week but they will get the victory all the same.
That extra half point is not fun to consider but in the end It will probably be irrelevant as they will win by at least last year’s margin.
Probably more.
Week 4 Free Score Prediction: Air Force 41 – Utah State 27
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