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Week 1 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 1 Totals Analysis

Week 1 in the NFL was all about stifling defense and sloppy offense as 11 of the 16 games stayed ‘under’  the total line. Offensive powers like New Orleans, Indianapolis, and San Diego combined for just 52 points which is usually what the score on its own.

Here is a look at the ‘over/under’ results for all 16 games. All lines provided by JUSTBET.com.

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Handicapping

Conference Championship Round NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Conference Championships- Totals Analysis

The totals bet for Sunday’s NFL conference title games came down to whether the stingy defenses would rule the day, or the high powered offenses would run wild. In both games we actually had a little of both. In the end though the points finally started to add up and both games went over their total.

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Handicapping

Divisional Round NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Divisional Playoffs- Totals Analysis

Offense may have led the way in the wildcard round of the NFL playoffs, but defense took center stage in the divisional round. Three out of the four games stayed under the total as the losing teams combined for a total of 34 points. Just like last week, the first three games of the weekend were never really close and final game’s outcome was not decided until the final minutes of the fourth quarter.

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Handicapping

Wildcard NFL Totals Betting Analysis

Wildcard Weekend- Totals Analysis

There was no shortage of offense this past weekend as all four wildcard playoff games went over their total. While the first three games were one sided victories, the final game between Green Bay and Arizona was not only a thriller that has to be already considered an instant classic; it set the record for most points ever scored in a postseason game.

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Handicapping

Week 17 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

Week 17 Betting Analysis

Make it three straight weeks that the total bet was split right down the middle as the odds makers did a great job setting the lines on a very difficult week to handicap.

Eight games stayed under the total with the lowest score coming in the Philadelphia @ Dallas game with the Cowboys pitching the 24-0 shutout.

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Handicapping

Week 16 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 16 Totals Analysis

For the second week in a row the total bet was split right down the middle. Eight games stayed under the total and eight games went over. There were a few teams that basically took their game over on their own. San Diego put up 42 points on Tennessee, Carolina scored 41 against the N.Y. Giants, and Green Bay racked up 48 points against Seattle.

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Handicapping

Week 15 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 15 Totals Analysis

After four straight weeks of the under bet dominating the totals line, balance has finally returned. There was a perfect split this week with eight games staying under their total and eight going over, just the way the odds makers like to draw it up.

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Handicapping

Week 14 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 14 Totals Analysis

Make it four weeks in a row and counting for the under bet. In week fourteen 11 games stayed under the total, four games went over, and there was one push; Denver@ Indianapolis with a total of 44. Scoring continues to drop as there were only three games that combined for 50 points or more while five games combined for 30 points or less.

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Handicapping

Week 13 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 13 Totals Analysis

For the third week in a row the under bet was the solid play. 11 of 16 games stayed under the total this week which means that in the past 48 games 32 or 67% have stayed under. Ten of the games actual point totals were six or less points from their total line making this an extremely hard bet to figure out this week.

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Handicapping

Week 12 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 12 Totals Analysis

With Monday night’s New England@ New Orleans game staying under by ½ a point, on a total line of a whopping 55 ½ the under bet was a solid play in week twelve. Eleven games stayed under the total and only five games went over. Defense rose to the occasion as six teams were held to 10 points or less including the N.Y. Giants, Jaguars, and Bears.

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Handicapping

Week 11 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 11 Totals Analysis

Points were a little harder to come by last week as ten games stayed under the total, five games went over, and one game; N.Y. Jets at New England was a push at 45. The biggest shocker by far was the thrilling 38-37 win by Detroit over Cleveland. The Lions scored 40 points combined in their last four games and the Browns have only scored 29 points combined in their last five games.

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Handicapping

Week 10 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 10 Totals Analysis

After two straight weeks of the under bet out pacing the over, the points were once again adding up fast this past week. Nine games went over the total, while six games stayed under. In no big surprise the Patriots- Colts game led the way with 69 total points, while Tennessee took their game over on their own putting 41 points on board against the Bills. Two of the more shocking under games were Green Bay holding the Cowboys to seven points and Cincinnati holding the Steelers to just 12 points.

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Handicapping

Week 9 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 9 Totals Analysis

Defense was the name of the game this week as several high scoring teams were held in check allowing the under bet to have a slight advantage. Seven games stayed under the total, while six managed to go over. The Saints were held to 30 points keeping their game against Carolina under by two points, the Ravens only scored 7 points against Cincinnati in a game that stayed way under, and Dallas came up big against the Eagles holding them to 16 points in their 20-16 win on Sunday night.

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Handicapping

Week 8 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 8 Totals Analysis

Once again the over bet had the slight advantage as seven games went over the total and six games stayed under. There were a few surprises with the under such as Indianapolis being held to only 18 points by the 49ers and Denver only managing 7 points in their loss to the Ravens. The two hottest teams in the league did not disappoint as the Vikings put up 38 points on the Packers and New Orleans scored 35 against the Falcons helping to take both those games way over the total.

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Handicapping

Week 7 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 7 Totals Analysis

Points were plentiful again this week as seven games went over the total, five games stayed under while one game; San Diego @ Kansas City was a push at 44. Two games; Indy @ St.Louis and Philly @ Washington went over on meaningless touchdowns late in the 4th quarter and one game almost doubled the total line as New Orleans and Miami put up 80 points between them.

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Handicapping

Week 6 NFL Totals Betting Analysis

NFL Week 6 Totals Analysis

With the Denver-San Diego game going over on Monday night there was a perfect balance in the totals betting with seven games staying under and seven games going over. The biggest shocker had to be Philadelphia@ Oakland which had a total of 40.5 and there only 22 combined points as the Eagles were held to three field goals. The next had to be the Saints pinning 48 points on the Giants’ #1 defense in a game where the total was 48.