Tag: nfl spreads

NFL Gambling Online – Week 3

WEEK 2 ATS PICKS RECORD: 1-3
SEASON ATS PICKS RECORD: 7-3

After a powerhouse first week, I came back to Earth on my ATS picks in Week 2. The supposed “slam dunk” Ravens game reminded me that anything can happen in the NFL. Let’s look at four more games for Week 3 and bounce back. The speciality this week: the always-tricky “big spreads.”

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Sunday, September 25, 1:00 p.m. ET
NFL betting favorite: Patriots -9

Who could’ve imagined just a few weeks ago that Patriots/Bills might be Week 3’s most exciting game? I’m sure everyone knows what Tom Brady has done through two weeks. He’s averaging 470 passing yards per contest thus far, he has seven interceptions versus one pick and he’s completed 71.6 per cent of his passes. Just hand him the MVP award already.

However, we can’t lose sight of what Buffalo’s Ryan Fitzpatrick has done in 2011. Once again flourishing in head coach Chan Gailey’s quarterback-friendly system, he’s been as impressive as any signalcaller not named Brady, tossing seven touchdown passes of his own. The Pats are allowing 381 passing yards per game so far this season; I don’t think they’ll slow Fitzpatrick down.

I still like New England to win but the Bills should keep it relatively close in what should be a shootout in Buffalo on Sunday. Yes, I’m aware that this is essentially the same situation New England faced in San Diego last week, and that it’s against an inferior “D,” but divisional games often play closer.

Pick: Bills +9

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Carolina Panthers

Sunday, September 25, 1:00 p.m. ET
NFL betting favorite: Panthers -3.5

Cam Newton’s epic rookie debut against the Arizona Cardinals was the talk of the town. But he was supposed to fall flat on his face against the defending champion Green Bay Packers last week. He didn’t, again topping 400 passing yards. This time, he made a few bonehead mistakes, but that was partly because he was so fearless and unflappable. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

In Jacksonville, he gets a front seven as toothless as any in the league. Newton might be in for another huge day. While the Panthers defense is just as much of a joke as Jacksonville’s it may feast on another rookie quarterback: Blaine Gabbert.

Obviously, if Newton could be so successful, we can’t write Gabbert off entirely, but the situation is different. Newton is getting by on a level of athleticism Gabbert doesn’t possess. He should experience growing pains on Sunday.

Pick: Panthers -3.5

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers

Sunday, September 25, 4:05 p.m. ET
NFL betting favorite: Chargers -14.5

Here’s another scary spread to contend with. The Chiefs have been epically bad, outscored 89-10 so far. It doesn’t seem like a trip to San Diego, a team with the NFL’s No. 1 offense and defense in 2010, will remedy their problems. I know there’s the divisional-game factor to worry about, as I explained above with Buffalo. But the Bills are at home. They’re also not missing their best offensive player (Jamaal Charles, out for season) and defensive back (Eric Berry, out for season), as the Chiefs are.

I have to think the Chargers make this one ugly as they try to bounce back from the beating Tom Brady gave them.

Pick: Chargers -14.5

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, September 25, 8:20 p.m. ET
NFL betting favorite: Steelers -10.5

A double-digit spread on the road is usually frightening. But you know what’s more frightening? Kerry Collins against the Steelers’ front seven. Will they literally murder him on national TV? At least there won’t be too many eyes glued to this dud of a game. I’ll be watching the season premiere of Boardwalk Empire instead. Then again, we may see more blood and death if we watch Indy try to move the ball on Pittsburgh. Tough decision.

Pick: Steelers -10.5

This is the Week 3 series of free NFL Pick articles by our experts here at CappersPicks.com. Check back with us all NFL Betting season long, and keep on winning those NFL Bets folks!

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