This West Region match up pits 10th seed Iowa State facing 7th seed Notre Dame. Notre Dame finished the season with 25 wins and had some solid wins and Iowa State ended the season well before losing to Kansas, for the 3rd time this season, in their conference tournament.
In the first game for both teams in the East region and Syracuse is the 4th seed and Montana is the 13th seed. Obviously, in the Big East the Orange played a much tougher schedule and even though Montana only had 1 less wins NCAAB lines have the Orange as the big 12.5-point favorites with a total of 128.5.
In the 2nd round of the NCAA tournament the 14th seed Davidson Wildcats face the3rd seed Marquette Golden Eagles in the East Region.
In the 2nd round match up in the East Region the 11th seed Bucknell Bison facing the 6th seed Butler Bulldogs in the opening Big Dance game for both teams.
UNLV and Colorado State meet in the Mountain West Conference semifinals with the winner taking on the winner of the San Diego State vs. New Mexico.
New Mexico won the Mountain West Conference crown in the regular season and they now face San Diego State in the semifinals of the conference tournament.
Arkansas is at 19 wins and at 10-8 there were in the middle of the pack in SEC play. They are on the bubble and if they lose this game they may be headed to the NIT and not the Big Dance. Vanderbilt is under .500 on the season and their only chance to make it to the NCAA tournament would be to win the conference tourney.
Missouri is at 22-9 and 11-7 in SEC play so they look to be a safe bet to make the Big Dance, but the same cannot be said about Texas A&M. The Aggies only have 18 wins and they were 4 games under in conference play and unless they win the SEC tourney they will not get invited to the Big Dance.
In the first round of the SEC tournament Auburn faces Texas A&M and the Aggies are really on the Big Dance bubble at 17-14 and 7-11 in SEC play and they need to go far in this tourney and may have to win it to get a NCAA tourney bid.
Iowa State is at 19-19 and 9-7 in Big 12 play and they have failed to get to the 20-win plateau, as they have lost their last 2 games. They may seal their Big Dance bid if they can beat a ranked Oklahoma State team tonight.
Missouri is sitting at 21-8 and 10-6 in the SEC and they are looking in good shape to make the Big Dance, but that may change if they falter down the stretch.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers NCAAB Lines
Venue/ Stadium: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO
Time/Date: 7 PM EST Tuesday, March 5, 2013
NCAAB Odds From: BETDSI
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Missouri -10
Over/Under: 151.5
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Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers Preview
Even though they lost to Arkansas earlier this season on the road they have won their last 2 games and 3 of their last 4.
The Razorbacks are at 18-11 and 9-7 in the SEC and they are really on the bubble and need to finish the season strong to make the NCAA Tournament. NCAAB lines have Missouri as big 10-point favorites with a total of 151.5.
In their last games Missouri beat LSU 89-76 and Arkansas beat Kentucky 73-60.
On the season Arkansas is 11-10 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 7-12 and Missouri is 12-13 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 14-7.
With their last win Arkansas snapped their 2-game losing streak.
Missouri is a perfect 16-0 at home this season while Arkansas is only 1-8 on the road.
Arkansas only has 1 win on the road this season and that came a few weeks back facing an Auburn team that is 9-20.
Mizzou is a high scoring team ranking 17th in the nation in points per game led by FW Laurence Bowers (14.2 ppg 6.1 rpg), who is coming off a 23-point and 10-rebound performance in the win over LSU. 2nd leading scorer G Jabari Brown (14 ppg) has struggled in 2 of his last 3 games and needs to get back on track. [ad-6571516]
Arkansas will have to play good D facing a deep Mizzou team that has 6 players that are averaging in double figures.
BJ Young (15.2 ppg) leads the Razorbacks in scoring, but he has been struggling and in his last 4 games he has scored in double figures only 1 time and in that span he never shot at least 50% from the floor. Marshawn Powell (14.9 ppg 5.4 rpg) has been playing well in the scoring department, but in the Kentucky win he was only 6/18 from the field.
Mizzou plays a pressure defense that forces many steals and the Razorbacks have to be careful with the rock tonight.
In some betting trends for this SEC match up Arkansas is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and they have an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Missouri is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and they have an Over record of 19-7-1 in their last 27 home games.
Jason’s Pick: Mizzou will keep their perfect home record in tact with a win tonight, but Arkansas will not get blown out and they will cover the double digit spread.
Baylor is sitting at 17-12 and a few weeks back it looked like they were on course to make the Big Dance. However, they have lost 4 of their last 5 games and at 8-8 they are on the bubble.
Venue/ Stadium: Frank Erwin Special Events Center, Austin, TX
Time/Date: 9 PM EST Monday, March 4, 2013
NCAAB Odds From: Sportsbook.ag
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Baylor -1.5
Over/Under: 137
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Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns Preview
Texas will not be making the Big Dance unless they win the Big 12 conference tourney, but they are coming off a win and have won 3 of their last 6 games. NCAAV lines have Baylor as slight 1.5-point road favorites with a total of 137.
In their last games Texas lost to Oklahoma State 78-65 and Baylor lost to Kansas State 64-61.
On the season Baylor is 11-13 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 12-11 and Texas is 14-12-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 13-11.
Texas is 11-4 at home this season while Baylor is only 4-6 on the road.
Earlier this season at Baylor the Bears beat the Longhorns 86-79 in OT.
Baylor has a solid offense ranking 33rd in the nation in scoring and they Longhorns will have to play good D in this game, as their offense is not a high scoring one ranking 236th in the nation in points per game.
Baylor leading scorer Pierre Jackson (19 ppg) has put up decent numbers in the last couple of games, but he has struggled with his shot. He is a speedy 5’10” G that the Bears have to keep out of the lane. One guy the Longhorns really have to worry about is 7’1″ C Isaiah Austin (13.6 ppg 9 rpg), who has the size and Texas cannot let him dominate in the paint. [ad-6571516]
Texas leading scorer Sheldon McClellan (13.3 ppg) is coming off a game where he did not score and he and backcourt mate G Julien Lewis (10.4 ppg) must play well tonight, as Texas does not feature a lot of frontcourt scoring.
Jonathan Holmes (6.7 ppg 6.1 rpg) and Ioannis Papapetrou (8.5 ppg 4.3 rpg) are the top 2 rebounders for the Longhorns and they are 6’7″ and 6’8″ respectively. They have to play good inside D tonight facing the 7’1″ Lewis and 6’9″ Cory Jefferson (11.9 ppg 8.3 rpg).
In some betting trends for this Big 12 match up Baylor is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, and they have an Over record of 12-5 in their last 17 road games.
Texas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss, and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Jason’s Pick: The Bears have covered the spread in their last 4 games at Texas, but that trend will not continue. Texas is solid at home and they will cover tonight facing a reeling Baylor squad.
UCONN is sitting at 19 wins and they are 9-5 in Big East play and with a 20th win tonight against a top 10 Georgetown team they may be a lock for the Big Dance.
Tennessee is sitting at 16-10 and 8-6 in SEC play and they have played themselves back on the Big Dance bubble with 5 straight wins including beating a ranked Kentucky team.
Iowa State has won 3 straight games at 19 wins they look to be in the picture for the Big Dance, but they can make it a lock to make it if they can beat 9th ranked Kansas.
Oregon is coming off a loss, which snapped their 3-game losing streak, but they are still tied atop the Pac 12 standings with Arizona.
