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Super Bowl 45: Packers vs. Steelers Betting Odds

Super Bowl Betting: Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview & Free Pick

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Super Bowl betting has finally arrived. This Sunday, the Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers will face off in Texas to determine the champion of Super Bowl XLV.

Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: Sunday, February 6, 6:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
Broadcast: FOX
Packers vs. Steelers Super Bowl Betting Odds from Bodog.com
Packers: -3 (105)
Steelers: +3 (-115)
Total: 45

Bet Now @ Bodog.com

Green Bay (13-6, 12-7 ATS) has come out on top of five consecutive must-win games, including a 21-14 victory over the Chicago Bears in the NFC Championship. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their past five outings, and all three of their playoff victories were covered despite being on the road.

Thanks to the emergence of rookie John Starks, the Packers offense is more balanced than every. Starks has carried the ball 23, 25 and 22 times during the postseason. With the hard-nosed running back churning out yards, Aaron Rodgers is as dangerous as ever. Because of the star quarterback’s presence, every Super Bowl bettor is going to have to think twice, three or even four times before picking against Green Bay.

Rodgers has two career indoor playoff games under his belt. He completed 76 percent of his passes for 789 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception. Rodgers added two rushing touchdowns in those games and led Green Bay to 93 points.

Defensively, Green Bay ranked second in the NFL in points allowed. It’s been a long time since this unit has slipped up; during the five-game winning streak, the Pack is allowing just 14.2 points per game. Against Chicago, the defense even chipped in with a touchdown from tackle B.J. Raji. The secondary may be the best in the NFL. If there’s a potential weakness, it’s stopping the run. Green Bay allowed 4.7 yards per carry during the regular season, tied for second-worst in the league.

Pittsburgh (14-4, 12-6 ATS) has won four straight games and is 8-1 in its past nine outings. The Steelers are also enjoying a 6-1 run against the spread, including four straight covers. Pittsburgh beat the Jets in the AFC Championship to advance to the Super Bowl.

The rushing attack was incredibly impressive against the Jets, one of the league’s best run defenders. Rashard Mendenhall racked up 121 yards and a touchdown on 27 carries, though Super Bowl betting fans have to be concerned about the status of Maurkice Pouncey. It looks like the talented center is going to miss the game, a big blow to the already patchwork offensive line.

That likely means another afternoon in which Ben Roethlisberger must scramble for his life. Roethlisberger has been sacked eight times in two postseason games while throwing for just 359 yards. He’s made big plays when his team needed them, but that might not be enough against the Packers. Playing keep-up can’t be done with only a productive running game.

With the Steel Curtain in place, though, Pittsburgh shouldn’t be too vulnerable. The “D” is incredible against the run and allowed just 63 rush yards per game this season. Quite frankly, you aren’t running against the Steelers, plain and simple. There have been some signs of weakness against the pass. Mark Sanchez had a solid day in the AFC Championship (20-33, 233 yards, two touchdowns, no picks), and talented quarterbacks like Tom Brady and Jay Cutler have torched the Steelers in 2010.

This is an incredible Super Bowl betting matchup, but Green Bay has the edge. Not only are the Packers riding a wave of momentum, they have some excellent matchups to exploit. Few teams—and especially Pittsburgh—can match up with Green Bay’s four receiver sets, especially on the lighting-quick turf in Dallas. The Steelers will stop the run, but that shouldn’t make things too uncomfortable—the Packers are used to not being able to run the ball.

Mendenhall will probably find some room to run, but with Rodgers whipping the ball all over, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Green Bay take an early lead and force the Steelers to at least reduce their rushing efforts. Ben Roethlisberger is a great quarterback but, right now, there may not be anybody better in the world than Aaron Rodgers. Take the Green Bay Packers.

Green Bay vs. Pittsburgh Super Bowl betting pick: Packers

Ian Van Den Hurk has covered amateur and pro sports for years, including a successful run handicapping anything from football to mixed martial arts.

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About Ian Van Den Hurk

Ian Van Den Hurk has covered amateur and pro sports for years, including a successful run handicapping anything from football to mixed martial arts. Looking for more sports betting tips and expert sports handicapping articles from Ian V? We've got your back...


Comments

Comments

  1. knoxville1 says:

    I’m looking for “action” today, any suggestions?

  2. 6 Plays $49.95. Can’t do much better than that.

    http://www.capperspicks.com/handicappers/ray-monohan-sports-picks/

  3. Just so you know the packers running back is James Starks not John Starks. GO PACK

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