Louisville vs. Georgetown Sportsbook Pick (Feb. 23)

NCAAB: Cards small chalk tonight

The Louisville Cardinals have been a great conference bet the last two years. Can they keep it up tonight at the Georgetown Hoyas as two-point chalk?

ESPN will have the contest at 7 pm ET, followed by Kansas at Oklahoma.

Coach Pitino’s teams are 38-10 the last three years in the Big East regular season and are an astonishing 36-11-1 ATS. That is +23.9 units of profit playing some of the fiercest competition any team can face.

The Cardinals (21-5, 16-10 ATS) are one of four teams with a pair of losses in the Big East, but they still have hopes at the regular season title.

Louisville has won and covered three in a row since running into the Notre Dame buzz saw on the road. They responded with home wins over DePaul and Providence by a combined 63 points and overcame a good Cincinnati team on their home court, 72-63 as 5.5-point favorites.

Louisville will play a second straight conference road game at ghastly Georgetown (14-11, 7-13-1 ATS). The Cardinals make every sports bettor giddy with their 22-4 ATS road record since 2007.

A big part of the Cards success has come in February, where they are 17-4 against the Oddsmakers number. Pitino’s teams are also 15-4 ATS off a road win the last three years.

Coach John Thompson’s team was supposed to be run of the mill in the conference, but after knocking off then No.1 Connecticut on the road to raise their record to 10-1, hopes of a Hoyas uprising were taking place.

However, if any team has a weaknesses, conference opponents will be the ones to expose it and Georgetown ended up with a Pandora’s boxful. The Hoyas have lost eight of 10 (1-8-1 ATS) and are 4-10 and 2-11-1 ATS since hitting 2009. The Hoyas are 5-9 straight-up and 3-11 ATS in the Big East.

Despite the problems, oddsmakers haven’t written off Georgetown as this small spread suggests. When checking different angles, it’s not easy to support G-Town, since they are 0-8 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3.

The Cardinals would look to be in a more favorable position with a 13-2 ATS mark as a road favorite or pick and 8-1 ATS if the number is six or less.