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Jets vs. Dolphins Gambling Preview/Prediction


After losing three straight, Miami came up with a huge effort vs. Buffalo to notch its first win in Week 4. The Dolphins will look to make it two in a row on Monday night at home vs. the Jets before heading into their bye week. So far, this game has seen plenty of attention from bettors at Sportsbook.com, and almost all of it has gone to either visiting New York or the OVER.


Is this the second straight Monday night game where bettors win big?

HC Tony Sparano’s club has won five of its L6 divisional games, both SU & ATS, but have not beat New York at home since 2005. They are on a 0-6 ATS slide when hosting the Jets since ’03. New York is in the opposite scenario of the ‘Fins, having started 3-0 before losing last week for the first time, in New Orleans. HC Rex Ryan’s team, a 1-1/2 point road favorite, is allowing just 277 YPG thus far, 2nd best in the AFC, and important since Miami is 4-13 ATS at home vs. teams yielding <=285 YPG. Dogs are 8-1 ATS in MIAMI’s L9 pre-bye week games.

Do you think Mark Sanchez and the Jets are ready for prime time? They sure are, despite a 24-10 loss at New Orleans in a battle of undefeated teams. Sanchez, the first rookie quarterback since the 1970 merger to win his first three pro starts, makes his Monday Night Football debut when the Jets visit the Dolphins.

A quarter of the way through his rookie campaign, Sanchez appears to be following in the footsteps of Baltimore’s Joe Flacco and Atlanta’s Matt Ryan, last year’s rookie quarterbacks who led their teams to wild-card berths under first-year head coaches. Head coach Rex Ryan completes the formula for the Jets, who started 8-3 in 2008 but dropped four of their last five including the finale at home against Miami.

Chad Pennington led the Dolphins into the Meadowlands last Dec. 28 with the AFC title up for grabs and threw for two touchdowns in a 24-17 victory that completed the greatest one-year turnaround in league history. Cut by the Jets to make room for Brett Favre, he went on to capture the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the second time in his career. Unfortunately, Pennington could have a shot at a third in 2010 after suffering a season-ending dislocated shoulder in a Week 3 loss in San Diego.

A second-round pick in 2008, Chad Henne got his first pro start last Sunday at home against Buffalo and threw his first NFL touchdown in a 38-10 blowout win. Given Henne’s inexperience, the ground attack/Wildcat led by Ronnie Brown (419 total yards, four touchdowns) and Ricky Williams (300, 3) must show the way like last week when they combined for 200 yards rushing and three scores.

Henne was 15 years old and Sanchez 14 when the Jets and Dolphins played one of the most memorable games in the history of MNF. On Oct. 23, 2000, New York rallied from 23 points down in the final 15 minutes to force overtime and stunned Miami, 40-37, on John Hall’s 40-yard field goal at 1:08 a.m. Tuesday morning. It was the largest comeback from a fourth-quarter deficit in NFL history and was dubbed the Monday Night Miracle.
The Jets have swept the Dolphins seven times in the past 11 years and hold a 46-39-1 all-time lead in the regular-season series.

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