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Broncos vs. Chargers Gambling Preview/Prediction

NFL: Chargers lead chase to the pay window

The San Diego Chargers have home-field, momentum and the revenge factor in their favor and Sportsbook.com bettors hope that leads to a payday against the Denver Broncos on Sunday night.

The Chargers host the Broncos as 8 ½-point favorites in the regular season finale with the AFC West title and a spot in the playoffs awaiting the winner.  

You can get up-to-the-minute odds on our Live Odds page and check our Betting Trends to see how members are wagering. Place your bet and catch this game on NBC at 8:15 pm ET.

Neither team has been a solid bet against the spread (ATS) this season but, with two covers in the last three weeks, San Diego has given bettors a bit of a reason to smile. Meanwhile, the Broncos have dropped three straight ATS and could find themselves out of the playoffs after two straight up losses the last two weeks.

When these two teams met in Denver in Week 2, the game was declared a Push as the Broncos held on to win 39-38 as a one-point favorite. Bettors will recall that game was decided on a botched call by referee Ed Hochuli, who inadvertently ruled that a fumble by Broncos quarterback Jay Cutler was an incomplete pass.

Instead of recovering the ball and sealing the victory, San Diego was forced to send the defense back on the field as Denver continued its drive and claimed the victory with a touchdown and two-point conversion with just 24 seconds remaining.

For much of the season, it looked like that missed call would cost the Chargers a spot in the postseason but after three consecutive wins, and two-straight losses by the Broncos, San Diego can claim its third-straight AFC West title with a win Sunday night.

More importantly for bettors, the Chargers look to continue their dominance of the Broncos at the pay window. Before the Week 2 push, San Diego had dominated the four encounters over the previous two seasons, easily covering the spread with each victory.

Add in a Denver defense that ranks at the bottom of the NFL in every statistical category, and the numbers are stacking up against Broncos’ supporters.

While San Diego has struggled to get a run game going this season and rank 27th with just 95 rushing yards per game, quarterback Philip Rivers has picked up the slack and leads the league’s seventh-ranked passing attack (243.4 yards per game) and scoring offense (25.8 points per game) into this game.

Where San Diego is vulnerable is on defense as they rank 31st in passing ‘D’ with 242.8 yards against per game. That’s the one stat that bodes well for Denver quarterback Jay Cutler and receivers Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal.

The Broncos feature an offense built on the pass and it produces 277.9 yards through the air each game, third in the NFL. But, while the offense is ranked second in total yards with an average of 395.9 yards per game, the Denver offense struggles to finish drives and is just 17th in scoring with 23.3 points per game.

Denver needs to find a way to finish drives and find the endzone, something they couldn’t do the last two weeks, if they expect to play another game after Sunday.

 

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