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2013 PGA Wells Fargo Preview/Picks & Gambling Lines

PGA Betting – The 2013 Wells Fargo Predictions

The PGA TOUR pros move to North Carolina this week for the Wells Fargo Championship. Six former champions tee it up this week on a seemingly ever-changing Quail Hollow. Fairways are among the hardest to hit among all courses on the PGA TOUR and getting it close to the hole is always a serious challenge.

2013 Wells Fargo Championship
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina, United States
Course: Quail Hollow Country Club
Date: May 2-5, 2013
Total Purse: US $ 6,500,000
Winner’s Share: US $ 1,170,000 (18% of total purse)

Odds: Bovada

Defending Champion: Rickie Fowler ($1,170,000)

You have to be able to hit long and be accurate and you have to hope you can sink the occasional long putt. Although the scoring average was under par last year, Quail Hollow promises a tough test for the very strong field this week.

Let’s take a look at the names to watch this week and what should play out.

The Favorites:

Rory McIlroy 9/1

Got his first PGA TOUR win on this course in 2010 and promptly went on to miss the cut in 2011 and then lost in a playoff last year. Golf is a crazy game isn’t it? He last played in the Masters where he finished T25 and if his driver is on, he should, on paper win easily. But we have all seen what Rory’s new clubs have meant – inconsistency. But based on a T2 and a win in the last three years and still being Rory McIlroy, he is the unquestioned favorite.

Phil Mickelson 16/1

Is coming off an unflattering T54 in the Masters but he has fared very well on this track in the past – he’s 9-for-9 with four top fives and another two top 10s. He, like Rory is hard to trust however based on his inconsistency this year.

Lee Westwood 16/1

Last played in the Masters where he was a respectable T8 making it two straight top 10s on TOUR. He’s had a Missed cut, a T61, T38 and a T5 last year respectively in his four starts here and looks pretty good ahead of this week on a track that should suit his game very well.

Webb Simpson 18/1

Lost in a playoff in his last start at Harbour Town and now has three top 6 finishes and seven top 25s already this season. He finished fourth in this event last year after holding the lead after 54 holes. He is a local guy and a member here and is 17th in scoring, 11th in scrambling, ninth in par-4 performance, 29th in total putting and third on TOUR in greens in regulation from off the fairway but is a puzzling 152nd in total driving which is the only thing that may hold him back this week. But he has been consistent this year and enters in great form – no shame in picking Webb this week.

The Contenders:

Bubba Watson 22/1

Was T2 here in 2009 and has made the cut here three straight appearances. He is sixth on TOUR in greens hit, 45th in strokes gained-putting and first in birdies or better on par 4s but his accuracy off the tee scares me a little this week. He is coming off a T15 in New Orleans after opening with a 1-over 73 so we know he is in decent form.

Dustin Johnson 22/1
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Has quietly finished top 15 in each of his last three starts with a T13 at the Masters last time out. He has made the cut just once here however – a T29 in 2010.

Rickie Fowler 22/1

Scored his first PGA TOUR win here last year in a playoff to follow a T6 and T16 in his other two appearances and he has three top 10s already this year. He is 20th in fairways hit, 35th in strokes gained-putting and 22nd in scrambling so far this year but hasn’t finished inside the top 25 since Bay Hill where he was T3.

Nick Watney 25/1

Is coming off a T15 in New Orleans where he shot under par in every round – his second straight top 15 on TOUR. He has six top 25s in eight trips to Quail Hollow and a career-best eighth last year and his game seems to fit this track very well. Expect a solid week from Mr. Watney.

Sergio Garcia 25/1

Finished T2 here way back in 2005 and had a T28 on this track as recently as 2011. He is coming off a good T8 at the Masters for his fifth top 17 in six starts this season. He is second in adjusted scoring on TOUR, 14th in Total Driving, 25th in Par 5 and 2nd in GIR – all traits that will serve him well this week. Garcia is a nice play at 25/1 for sure this week!

Bill Haas 28/1

Has five top 10s already this year and has two fourth-place finishes and a pair of T22s in nine appearances at Quail Hollow but has also missed four cuts here. Haas is eighth in greens in regulation and 13th in scrambling which should serve him well this week.

D.A. Points 40/1

Lost in a playoff here last year but has been playing well ahead of this year’s event – a win at the Shell Houston Open and a solo second in New Orleans last week. He has made four consecutive cuts and is actually one of the hotter players on TOUR at the moment.

Hunter Mahan 40/1

Had four straight top 25s here interrupted by a disappointing T53 here last year. He’s 17th on TOUR in ball striking, 25th in strokes gained-putting, 14th in Total Driving, 19th in GIR and 41st in Par 5 percentage on TOUR this year. He has seven top 25s this year in 13 starts but enters not in the best of form at the moment.

The Sleepers:

Lucas Glover 50/1

Won this event in 2011 and was 2nd here in 2009 and looked good to win at New Orleans last week before an average final round saw him slip to T4. He is 10th on TOUR in total driving, 42nd in the all-around ranking and 60th in GIR from other than the fairway. It is hard to believe that he is 50/1 having had success here and having finished T4 last week.

Jimmy Walker 50/1

Walker was another player in contention last week – a T8 at New Orleans was his fourth top 10 this year and 20th consecutive cut made. He has yet to make a cut at this event but enters playing the best golf of his career.

Kevin Streelman 66/1

He’s 0-for-3 at this event, but he hasn’t appeared since 2010 and he’s in the midst of a career year in the heart of his prime. Since breaking through at the Tampa Bay Championship, he’s added a T21 at Bay Hill and a T3 at Harbour Town.

The Pick:

I looked at two golfers this week – but I am going with home-town boy Webb Simpson at 18/1 over my second favorite Sergio Garcia.

My sleeper – and he isn’t really isn’t a sleeper is Lucas Glover at 50/1. He played well last week and may have deserved a better fate. He should be good again this week.

2013 Wells Fargo Betting Lines & Future Odds

Field (Any Other Golfers Not Listed Below) 5/2

RORY McILROY 9/1

PHIL MICKELSON 15/1

LEE WESTWOOD 15/1

WEBB SIMPSON 20/1

DUSTIN JOHNSON 20/1

RICKIE FOWLER 20/1

BUBBA WATSON 25/1

SERGIO GARCIA 25/1

NICK WATNEY 25/1

BILL HAAS 30/1

HUNTER MAHAN 40/1

HENRIK STENSON 40/1

IAN POULTER 40/1

JIMMY WALKER 40/1

BO VAN PELT 50/1

NICOLAS COLSAERTS 50/1

ANGEL CABRERA 50/1

PADRAIG HARRINGTON 50/1

ROBERT GARRIGUS 50/1

LUCAS GLOVER 50/1

BOO WEEKLEY 50/1

D.A. POINTS 50/1

BRENDON DE JONGE 50/1

RYAN MOORE 60/1

MARTIN KAYMER 60/1

CHARLES HOWELL III 60/1

ZACH JOHNSON 60/1

LUKE GUTHRIE 60/1

CHRIS KIRK 60/1

PAT PEREZ 60/1

KEVIN STREELMAN 60/1

MARTIN LAIRD 80/1

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Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.


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