PGA Betting – Northern Trust Open at Riviera Preview & Pick
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LAST WEEK: At the Pebble Beach Pro-Am we continued to at least show that we know what we’re talking about, with a handful of guys from our watch list once again littering the leaderboard. Tom Gillis: third. Nick Watney: sixth. Phil Mickelson: ninth. Our pick to win, J.B. Holmes: 13th. Close but we were once again snaked by an obscure name: D.A. Points.
THIS WEEK’S PGA BETTING
Date: Feb. 17 – 20
Event: Northern Trust Open
Course: Riviera CC, Pacific Palisades, California
Purse: Purse: $6,500,000
Defending Champ: Steve Stricker
Winning Share: $1,152,000
FedEX Cup Points Up For Grabs: 500
Perhaps we’ll finally get rewarded this week at the Northern Trust Open. It’s one of the least likely tournaments to have a no-name champ, as just two of its last 22 winners were first-timers. The field is a bit of a shark tank this week, with 31 of the world’s top 50 golfers competing, so we should seek out birdie makers and guys who can attack the pin this week.
THE ELITE
Phil Mickelson
Northern Trust Open odds: +750
This is one week in which Mickelson’s field-leading odds are justified. Lefty’s game is in a good place right now after a ninth-place finish at Pebble Beach in which he led the field in greens in regulation. He also leads the Tour in scoring average. Did I mention that he’s a two-time champ at the Northern Trust Open and the tournament’s all-time money leader? Yeah, there are many reasons to pick Mickelson this week.
Steve Stricker
Northern Trust Open odds: +1215
Stricker also makes a very strong case this week. He won the Northern Trust last year and finished second the year before. He’s a top-six guy in both GIR and birdies or better on par-4s this season. It’s usually easy to predict where Stricker will and won’t struggle and the Northern Trust Open always treats him right.
THE CONTENDERS
Matt Kuchar
Northern Trust Open odds: +2050
Sheesh. There’s a trend forming here. Everyone looks good this week. Kuchar hasn’t really cooled off since his sizzling end to 2010, finishing seventh or better in all three of his starts. He’s second on Tour in birdie average so we know he can make the big shots and putts needed to win at this tourney.
Dustin Johnson
Northern Trust Open odds: +2050
Johnson isn’t exactly hot entering the Northern Trust after a 55th-place finish at Pebble Beach, where he’d won the previous two times. But He’s a boomer who finished third last year. He isn’t a terrible pick but wouldn’t you rather take Kuchar at the same value?
Luke Donald
Northern Trust Open odds: +2050
On the plus side, Donald has a sparkling track record at the Northern Trust Open, with three straight top-six finishes there. On the down side, he hasn’t played since December. Don’t trust the rust.
SOLID PICK
Bubba Watson
Northern Trust Open odds:+3050
Bubba warrants serious consideration as a guy who seems to have as good a shot to win as the names above him but offers a better return on your sportsbook investment. He leads the Tour in driving distance and ball striking. He’s third in greens. His history at the host course, Riviera, isn’t anything special, but his general makeup fits the profile of what it takes to win the Northern Trust Open. 
THE SLEEPER
Bill Haas
Northern Trust Open odds:+4550
Haas has the right game, as he’s good at hitting greens (seventh on Tour) and making birdies (ninth in birdies or better on Par 4s). But he finished with an ugly 76 in his last tournament, suggesting he’s not quite as hot as some people think.
THE PICK
Steve Stricker was the first name to pop into my mind. If you like following a gut reaction, pick him and stop reading. After thinking on it more, however, I have to pick Bubba Watson. I just love his combination of power and accuracy – plus the fact that he offers almost triple the return that Stricker does with +3050 odds.
Northern Trust Open pick: Bubba Watson +3050
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2011 Northern Trust Open Updated Betting Odds
Jeff Overton 80-1
Aaron Baddeley 100-1
Bill Haas 40-1
Bo Van Pelt 80-1
Anthony Kim 30-1
Dustin Johnson 15-1
Bubba Watson 40-1
DA Points 60-1
Fred Couples 125-1
Charles Howell III 60-1
Andres Romero 80-1
Geoff Ogilvy 40-1
Hunter Mahan 20-1
KJ Choi 60-1
Jhonattan Vegas 60-1
Brendon de Jonge 100-1
Lucas Glover 80-1
Mark Wilson 60-1
Bryce Molder 80-1
Luke Donald 20-1
Brandt Snedeker 60-1
Marc Leishman 60-1
JB Holmes 25-1
Louis Oosthuizen 80-1
Justin Rose 40-1
Stewart Cink 100-1
Tom Gillis 80-1
Vijay Singh 50-1
YE Yang 80-1
Zach Johnson 80-1
zx Field (Any Other Golfers) 7-2
Jim Furyk 30-1
Jonathan Byrd 60-1
Paul Casey 25-1
Jason Day 50-1
Phil Mickelson 8-1
Retief Goosen 40-1
Rickie Fowler 30-1
Robert Allenby 50-1
Robert Karlsson 40-1
Rory Sabbatini 60-1
Ryan Moore 80-1
Ryo Ishikawa 125-1
Sean OHair 80-1
Steve Marino 50-1
Steve Stricker 12-1
Matt Kuchar 20-1
Martin Laird 60-1
Padraig Harrington 40-1
One reply on “2011 PGA Northern Trust Open Preview/Picks”
Good list! Now, I can properly choose which I can bet on. Thanks guys.