PGA Betting – British Open Preview & Pick
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LAST WEEK: Tough break last week. David Toms, our pick, pulled out with a hip injury. Steve Stricker proved that the long shot of winning a tournament three times in a row isn’t actually a long shot for someone as suited to one particular golf course as he is. Next year, I’ll know better and pick him to win four straight.
Date: Thursday July 14 – July 17
Event: British Open Championship
Course: Royal St. George’s Golf Club, Sandwich, Kent, ENG
Purse: $7,300,000
Defending Champ: Louis Oosthuizen
Winning Share: $1,305,593
FedEX Cup Points Up For Grabs: 600
Onto the British Open or, as it’s actually known, the Open Championship. Naturally, we should pay attention to particularly strong (or at least weak) wind players. 
We should also know that driving accuracy isn’t necessary a big concern, as you can find an imperfect lie wherever you put the ball at Royal St. George’s and the rough isn’t overly devastating.
THE ELITE
Rory McIlroy
British Open odds: +500
Rory almost deserves his own category, as his +500 odds are the best since Tiger and Phil’s respective peaks. He led the 2011 Masters after every round before blowing it on Sunday and led the U.S. Open wire-to-wire before his victory, meaning McIlroy has led after seven of his last eight major championship rounds. The only problem is that McIlroy himself has admitted to not being a great wind player.
Lee Westwood
British Open odds: +800
When will it happen for Lee Westwood? He’s finished in the top three two straight years and is widely considered the best current golfer without a major. Some bettors may believe it’s only a matter of time before Westwood wins the big one. I’m not one of them. He’s the new Colin Montgomerie. The pressure of winning on his home soil may be just a little bit too much.
Luke Donald
British Open odds: +1000
Donald faces the local pressure, too, but he’s early enough in his career that he isn’t jaded by near misses like Westwood might be. He’s the best player in the world right now, he has the clutch putter than can make magic in majors, and his approaches have been accurate all season long. Is it his time?
THE CONTENDERS
Sergio Garcia
British Open odds: +2500
Sergio has quietly crept back into relevance this season. He was seventh at the U.S. Open and, more recently, was second at the BMW International. Sergio is a good ball striker, 20th on Tour this season, and he’s had success in the past at the British, posting six career top-10s.
Jason Day
British Open odds: +2500
I like Day’s grinding skills; he’s tops on Tour in sand saves, fourth in scrambling and 13th in bogey avoidance. Day was also second place at both the Masters and U.S. Open this season. He’s on the cusp of something huge. Can he finally put it all together?
Nick Watney
British Open odds: +2500
If Donald is No. 1 this season, Nick Watney is 1-A. His win at the AT&T National was his second this year. Watney is throwing darts, ranking fourth on Tour in greens this season, and he’s fifth in putting. I like him for the same reason as Donald this week – but Watney offers more than double the return on your bet.
SOLID PICKS
Matt Kuchar
British Open odds: +3000
Kuchar makes for a solid play because of his ball striking and overall game – but it doesn’t feel like he’s peaking in time for the British Open. After a great finish to 2010 and start to 2011, he has two top-10s in his last seven tries.
Dustin Johnson
British Open odds: +3000
The big fella’s long drives could come in handy this week and he’s shown the ability to contend in majors before. After missing the cut at the 2009 Open, he was 14th last year. He hasn’t played in a month but he has three consecutive top-25s, including a fourth at the Memorial. He could surprise this week.
Steve Stricker
British Open odds: +3000
There’s no one playing better over the last five weeks than Steve Stricker, who has two wins over that span. He’s the top putter, scrambler and bogey avoider on Tour. But, as we’ve seen over the years, Stricker has trouble getting over that hump in majors. Will he ever do it?
Charl Schwartzel
British Open odds: +4000
The reigning Masters champ followed up that effort with a ninth-place at the U.S. Open. He’s an accurate ball striker who, like many international players not from the U.S. Or England, doesn’t seem too fazed by pressure. That’s a valuable trait to carry with you into a major.
THE PICK
Educated pick versus gut pick?
The stats point to Luke Donald to me. I also have a hunch, though, about Dustin Johnson. I’ve been punished recently for leaning too much on hunches, so I’ll pick Donald.
He’s been fantastic all year, he has everything it takes to win and, perhaps best of all, he seems to relish competition and pressure.
2011 British Open pick: Luke Donald +1000
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2011 British Open Championship – Odds to Win – Updated Betting Odds
Rory McIlroy 13/2
Lee Westwood 11/1
Luke Donald 11/1
Martin Kaymer 22/1
Graeme McDowell 28/1
Sergio Garcia 28/1
Steve Stricker 28/1
Jason Day 33/1
K.J. Choi 33/1
Matt Kuchar 33/1
Nick Watney 33/1
Charl Schwartzel 40/1
Dustin Johnson 40/1
Justin Rose 40/1
Padraig Harrington 40/1
Phil Mickelson 40/1
Retief Goosen 40/1
Adam Scott 50/1
Angel Cabrera 50/1
Ernie Els 50/1
Ian Poulter 50/1
Paul Casey 50/1
Francesco Molinari 66/1
Fredrik Jacobson 66/1
Henrik Stenson 66/1
Hunter Mahan 66/1
Louis Oosthuizen 66/1
Matteo Manassero 66/1
Peter Hanson 66/1
Rickie Fowler 66/1
Robert Karlsson 66/1
Ross Fisher 66/1
Y-E Yang 66/1
Alvaro Quiros 80/1
Bubba Watson 80/1
Geoff Ogilvy 80/1
Jim Furyk 80/1
Stewart Cink 80/1
Zach Johnson 80/1
Bo Van Pelt 100/1
Brandt Snedeker 100/1
Charles Howell III 100/1
Edoardo Molinari 100/1
Jeff Overton 100/1
Martin Laird 100/1
Robert Allenby 100/1
Robert Rock 100/1
Simon Dyson 100/1
Webb Simpson 100/1
Aaron Baddeley 125/1
Brian Davis 125/1
Chad Campbell 125/1
Ryan Moore 125/1
Alexander Noren 150/1
Anders Hansen 150/1
Anthony Kim 150/1
Ben Crane 150/1
Ben Curtis 150/1
Bill Haas 150/1
Camilo Villegas 150/1
Darren Clarke 150/1
Davis Love III 150/1
J.B. Holmes 150/1
Jonathan Byrd 150/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez 150/1
Nicolas Colsaerts 150/1
Paul Lawrie 150/1
Ryan Palmer 150/1
Ryo Ishikawa 150/1
Sean O’Hair 150/1
Steve Marino 150/1
Thomas Aiken 150/1
Trevor Immelman 150/1
Gary Woodland 175/1
George Coetzee 175/1
Gregory Bourdy 175/1
Lucas Glover 175/1
Mark Wilson 175/1
Pablo Larrazabal 175/1
Rhys Davies 175/1
Richard Green 175/1
Spencer Levin 175/1
Charley Hoffman 200/1
Danny Willett 200/1
Fredrik Andersson Hed 200/1
Gregory Havret 200/1
Jason Dufner 200/1
Joost Luiten 200/1
Justin Leonard 200/1
KT Kim 200/1
Peter Whiteford 200/1
Raphael Jacquelin 200/1
Robert Garrigus 200/1
Rory Sabbatini 200/1
Scott Jamieson 200/1
Thorbjorn Olesen 200/1
Tom Lewis 200/1
Alejandro Canizares 250/1
Graeme Storm 250/1
Harrison Frazar 250/1
Kevin Na 250/1
Kevin Streelman 250/1
Kyle Stanley 250/1
Seung-yul Noh 250/1
Simon Khan 250/1
Stephen Gallacher 250/1
Thongchai Jaidee 250/1
Tom Watson 250/1
David Duval 300/1
Gary Boyd 300/1
Jerry Kelly 300/1
John Daly 300/1
Mark Calcavecchia 300/1
Markus Brier 300/1
Nathan Green 300/1
Tetsuji Hiratsuka 300/1
Todd Hamilton 300/1
Tom Lehman 300/1
Yuta Ikeda 300/1
Bernhard Langer 400/1
Hiroyuki Fujita 400/1
Kenneth Ferrie 400/1
SM Bae 400/1
Bob Estes 500/1
Brad Kennedy 500/1
Bryden Macpherson 500/1
Francis McGuirk 500/1
Hiroo Kawai 500/1
Kurt Barnes 500/1
Prayad Marksaeng 500/1
Richard Mcevoy 500/1
