NHL: Hockey Systems offer Profits
With eight weeks left in the regular season, now’s the best time to examine some hockey betting systems with a track record of success.
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Betting System #1
Play On – Road favorites against the money line, after failing to cover four of their last five against the spread – versus an opponent after having covered two of their last three.This renowned system takes into consideration the “due” factor and matches it with the oddmakers judgment. If a hockey club is in a minor slump, like virtually all teams will suffer, and is still well thought of enough to be road chalk, this deserves our attention.
The home team has played fairly well, but doesn’t impress those setting the numbers as a home underdog. If the home dog would have beaten a San Jose, Boston or Detroit, they would certainly have earned more respect, particularly versus a club down on its luck. Over the last three years, a 21-2 record is great!
Betting System #2
Play Against – Road underdogs against the money line, revenging a road loss versus an opponent, who is winning 30% or less of their games into the second half of the entire season.
If this underdog is matched up against an bad opponent, who has already beaten them and the oddsmakers think so little of this hockey team on the road, why should we put what money we have made betting on the NHL on this loser?
At this juncture, we are talking about a team that wins maybe one of every three games being a home favorite. Yet those setting the money line are telling us the road dog is not to be trusted. Since 1996, playing against this droopy road pooch has yielded a 26-3 record, or 89.7%.
Betting System #3
Play Against – Road favorites against the money line, who are a good offensive team – scoring 2.85 or more goals a game, after four straight wins by two goals or more in the second half of the season.
This system plays to the fact it is hard to keep giving dominating performances, no matter how talented a team may be offensively. This would be similar to a baseball team averaging eight runs a game and winning by four or more runs over an extended time, it can’t last forever.
With most hockey totals hovering around 5.5 goals and home teams winning a hair over 56% of the time this season, it is extremely difficult for a road favorite to keep winning later in the season as a 22-5, or 81.5% records shows.
Betting System #4
Play Against – road teams against the money line, who are weak defensively, allowing three or more goals a game on the season, after a loss by two goals or more in their previous game, after half the season is completed.
This is merely a case of sieve-like defenses unable to stop the puck in their own end. Whether it’s poor defensemen or a goalie having another off-night between the pipes, this squad is going to have to play unusually well on defense or score a handful of goals to pull out a win on the road.
Since the start of the 2006-07 campaign, this money line system is 47-20, or 70.1%. At present, a dozen teams meet the criteria of being poor on defense, which is the point of entry for this situation.
