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Week 9 Steelers vs. Broncos NFL Predictions

NFL Betting Odds – Steelers and Broncos in the Monday Night Showdown

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS) at Denver Broncos (6-1 SU & ATS)
Monday, November 9 – 8:30 PM ET
BetUS NFL betting odds: PITTSBURGH -3, Total 40

In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the Steelers are listed as a three-point favorite, with a posted total of 40 points.

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Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

PITT has covered two of its last eight games
PITT has won 14 of its last 17 games SU
PITT has played four of its last five games OVER the total
PITT is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games
PITT has won seven of its last ten road games SU
PITT has played four of its last five road games OVER the total
DEN has won and covered six of its last seven games
DEN has played six of its last seven games UNDER the total
DEN has covered three of its last 11 home games
DEN has won four of its last five home games SU
DEN has played eight of its last nine home games UNDER the total

Also…

DEN has won four of the last five meetings SU
Six of the last seven meetings have gone OVER the total
DEN has won four of the last five meetings SU as the home team Football Picks
Five of the last seven meetings in Denver have gone OVER the total

The Steelers are on a hot streak. After dropping two straight three-point decisions (to the Bears and Bengals), Pittsburgh has come roaring back with four consecutive wins (both SU and in the NFL betting odds), all by eight points or more, and in the latest one they knocked off the previously-undefeated Minnesota Vikings. They were building some nice momentum.

Then they went into the bye week.

Sometimes that’s not the best thing in the world for that to happen. Sure, you get to heal your wounds and get ready for the next opponent, but at the same time it breaks up that momentum that helps teams go on streaks. We’re going to see what happens as they face a Denver team that is certainly licking its wounds from a sound beating at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens.

Rashard Mendenhall has given the Steelers some pretty steady work at the running back spot. Mendenhall doesn’t have huge numbers, but he’s contributed 208 yards in the last three games and is averaging 5.4 yards a carry (418 yards total). Since Willie Parker’s been in and out of the lineup, and Mewelde Moore’s value is best defined by his pass receiving skills, it’s important to get something out of the running game.

I’m confident about Denver’s ability to put some pressure on Ben Roethlisberger, who is plagued both by a tendency to hold the ball too long and the inability of some of his linemen to hold blocks.

There would normally be a point in a piece like this where, in the process of evaluating this for NFL betting odds, I would talk about how the Broncos were “exposed,” etc. I am holding off on that, and for good reason. With only a couple of exceptions, all these undefeated runs have had to come to an end, but by no means has Denver not beaten anyone. They had to take on Dallas, New England and San Diego in consecutive weeks, and remained unscathed.

What I’m saying is, it’s not there is some secret on film that is going to hold the key to victory for the Steelers just because the Broncos lost. Their defense still stops people (3.4 ypc, 14 ppg). Kyle Orton has still thrown only one interception. They can still run it a little. They have given up 33 points in three games at home. They allow just 33% on third down. They wuill give Pittsburgh all it can handle, and that makes them an ideal home underdog. We’re taking with Denver, the three-point dog in the BetUS NFL betting odds.

OUR PLAY: DENVER +3 ***

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