NFL Game Lines: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
The Miami Dolphins head to Foxboro this Sunday to unleash the Wildcat offense as they visit the 10 point favorites New England Patriots at 1 PM ET at Gillette Stadium in AFC East clash.
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NFL Betting Odds:
Miami Dolphins +10
New England Patriots -10
O/U 46
Last season New England was assaulted at home by the Dolphins’ Wildcat offense. The Patriots defense was surprised by Miami forced to give up 461 total yards in a 38-13 loss that ended the Patriots’ league-record 21-game winning streak in the regular season. Ronnie Brown scored 5 TD in that. Matt Cassel was under center for that game.
More than a year later the Dolphins continue to run the Wildcat formation with success. Miami owns the 4th rank rushing offense in the league with Ronnie Brown leading the team with seven TD in season and 4.3 yards per carry and just behind him is rejuvenated Ricky Williams with 5 TDs. 
“They give you a lot of stuff to defend and I’m sure that we’ll need a lot of different options to handle the variations that they show,” Bill Belichick said.
The Dolphins should dominate the matchup against and average Patriots defense against the run (15th rank in the league).
However before you think everything is set for another Miami victory, keep in mind the Patriots have somebody called Tom Brady. He has returned to Pro-Bowl form after NE’s bye.
Brady has thrown 11 TD and completed 71% of his passes the last 3 games, leading the Pats offense to average at least 20 points per game. If NE’s offensive line continues to give Brady enough protection for him to go through his progressions then he will pick apart a passing defense that allows 236 yards per game.
The 2007 MVP will be looking for Moss who had 12 catches for 150 yards and three touchdowns in two games against Miami last season and of course for Wes Welker who has had mixed success with two games over 120 yards and two below 60 yards against the Dolphins.
“For the most part, guys are in the spots where they need to be,” Brady said. “We have a pretty good understanding how we’re going to attack people. I think everyone’s excited for what’s ahead.”
Consider these NFL betting trends: New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home. And if you’re planning in betting on the game total keep in mind it has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games but it has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games.
My pick: the Patriots. Under.
