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Week 7 Saints vs. Dolphins NFL Predictions

NFL Sports Book – New Orleans Saints vs. Miami Dolphins

Sunday, October 25 – 4:15 PM ET
BetUS NFL sports book odds: NEW ORLEANS -6.5, Total 47
In the BetUS NFL betting, the Saints are listed as a 6.5-point favorite, with a posted total of 47 points.

Here are some NFL sports book betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

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NO has won and covered its last five games
NO has played 17 of its last 25 games OVER the total
NO is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six road games
NO has won four of its last six road games SU
NO has played four of its last six road games UNDER the total
MIA has covered two of its last six games
MIA has won 11 of its last 16 games SU
MIA has played 11 of its last 16 games UNDER the total
MIA has covered two of its last eight home games
MIA has won six of its last nine home games SU
MIA has played four of its last six home games OVER the total Football Picks

You absolutely had to be impressed with what Chad Henne was able to do at the helm of the Dolphins two weeks ago as he completed 20 out of 26 passes for 241 yards and two scores. If he can provide something of a threat downfield, that will maybe open things up more for the Wildcat offensive sets.

However, it’s going to be very hard to go punch-for-punch with Drew Brees, who after going without a touchdown for a couple of games, thrrew for 369 yards and four TD’s against a beleaguered Giants secondary last week, in what was a masterful performance that scored a resounding 48-27 win in the NFL sports book odds. On the season, Brees has 13 TD’s and just two interceptions, and he is averaging 280 yards.

Obviously this is a big challenge for the Miami secondary, which is giving up 8.4 yards per passing attempt and uses rookies Viontae Davis and Sean Smith in key roles. The Dolphins have allowed eleven pass plays of 25 or more yards, and Brees, who is averaging 8.8 yards a pass, has the potential to add to that.

It may surprise some people that New Orleans has actually thrown the ball more than they’ve run it, and you can go 5-0 doing that only if the running game is operating at a very high capacity. Whether it’s been Mike Bell (just back from injury), Pierre Thomas (averaging 5.9 yards a carry) or Reggie Bush, these guys have provided the proper balance, and then some, for Brees to operate with.

When you talk about the New Orleans defense, you are talking about a team that has forced turnovers (11 interceptions) and does a very good job against the run (3.8 ypc allowed). Opponents have converted on only 27% of third downs against them, which has helped them ring up some wins in the NFL odds.

The one weakness about Miami’s Wildcat approach is that Henne and the run can’t be threats at the same time. That’s why Patrick White needs to become a bigger player at some point. As it is Patrick Cobbs, who works well in this offense, is out with an injury, and it is tough to replace him on short notice. While admiring what Henne has been able to do, we don’t know if he is ready to trade points here, especially when the opponent has proven it can pull off some stops.

New Orleans is not only 5-0, but all the wins have been by double digits. That’s pretty special. They’re worth a long look here, and so we’ll take the Saints and lay the 6.5 points in the BetUS NFL sports book betting odds.

OUR PLAY: NEW ORLEANS -6.5 **

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Comments

Comments

  1. A possible trap game for the Saints coming off their big win over the Giants. The Dolphins keep it on the ground and knock off one of the last unbeaten teams in a shocker.

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