NFL Football Week 7 – San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills
The San Diego Chargers (3-3 SU, 3-2-1 ATS), coming off an important revenge win that evened their record, will travel back east on Sunday when they take on the Buffalo Bills (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS), who are looking very good in the AFC East division, in NFL action that is scheduled to take place at 1 PM ET at Ralph Wilson Stadium (artificial turf) in Orchard Park, NY.
Sunday, October 19
BetUS NFL betting odds: PICK’EM, Total 45.5
NOTABLE STAT: San Diego is 2nd in the NFL in scoring (29.7 ppg)
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Chargers are 12-2-1 ATS in their last 15 games
In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the game is listed at Pick’em, with a posted total of 45.5 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* SD is 12-2-1 ATS in its last 15 games
* SD has won 11 of its last 15 games SU
* SD has played four of its last six games OVER the total
* SD is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight road games
* SD has played 13 of its last 19 road games OVER the total
* BUFF has covered four of its last six games
* BUFF has won four of its last five games SU
* BUFF has played four of its last five games OVER the total
* BUFF has covered eleven of its last 15 home games
* BUFF has won five of its last seven home games SU
* BUFF has played its last six home games OVER the total
Also…
* BUFF has covered four of the last six meetings
* SD has won six of the last eight meetings SU
* Four of the last five meetings have gone OVER the total
The Chargers have to be careful that there isn’t a “hangover” of sorts from Sunday night’s game against the Patriots, a blowout that got revenge for two losses to New England last year. We say this because San Diego has just not been consistent this year. And Buffalo, which has been an over-achieving club, is coming off a bye week.
Of course, there has been a big question as to whether Trent Edwards, the Bills’ starting quarterback, could make it to post. Edwards suffered a concussion against Arizona and was knocked out of the game. J.P. Losman took his place and the Bills aren’t in desperate shape with him at the controls, but Edwards has declared himself ready to go. Edwards, the second-year pro out of Stanford, doesn’t throw long but he has completed 66% of his passes.
But the Bills are going to need more out of people like Marshawn Lynch (3,5 ypc) if they are going to go far in the AFC this season. The defensive front seven (just 10 sacks) will need to pressure Phillip Rivers more as well. This will certainly be an interesting matchup from the special teams perspective, as San Diego has a great return man in Darren Sproles to go against the outstanding coverage units of the Bills. In other areas, San Diego is going to have fundamental advantages, but isn’t it interesting that aside from his 100-yard game against Oakland, which has become a habit for him, LaDanian Tomlinson has not resembled the dominant runner he has been in the past?
Tomlinson has his lowest per-carry average (3.7) since his rookie season and is on pace for a season that would barely crack the 1000-yard barrier. We’ll have to keep an eye on the status of Chris Chambers, who had to sit out the game against New England with a sprained ankle. Rivers has some other people at his disposal, as was exhibited on Sunday night, but you can’t go without a guy like Chambers for very long.
San Diego is a sizzling 12-2-1 ATS over its last 15 games. But Buffalo has set up a bit of a fortress at home (11-4 ATS in last 15). The letdown, plus the travel, will get to the Chargers here. We’re grabbing the Bills at home, as the pick’em proposition in the BetUS NFL football betting odds.
Our PLAY: BUFFALO (pick) ***
