NFL Week 4 Betting – San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints
The New Orleans Saints (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS), who have suffered two tough losses since an opening-week win, will try to get back on the winning track on Sunday when they host the San Francisco 49ers (2-1 SU & ATS) in NFL action that is slated to begin at 1 PM ET at the Louisiana Superdome (artificial turf) in New Orleans.
Sunday, September 28
BetUS NFL betting odds: NEW ORLEANS -5.5, Total 48
NOTABLE STAT: New Orleans had 502 yards against Denver last week
KEY NFL BETTING TREND: Saints have played eight straight games over the total
In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the Saints are listed as a 5.5-point favorite, with a posted total of 48 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup (reflecting numbers going into the 2008 season):
* SF has won and covered four of its last six games
* SF has lost 12 of its last 17 games SU
* SF has played five of its last seven games UNDER the total
* SF has lost six of its last eight road games SU
* SF has covered two of its last eight road games
* NO has lost four of its last five games SU
* NO has played its last eight games OVER the total
* NO has played its last six home games OVER the total
Also…
* NO has covered nine of the last 11 meetings
* NO has won four of the last last five meetings SU
* Five of the last seven meetings have gone OVER the total
* NO has covered four of the last six meetings as the home team
* NO has won five of the last six meetings SU as the home team
* Six of the last eight meetings in San Francisco have gone UNDER the total
J.T. O’Sullivan was 16 for 23 and 188 yards last week against the Lions, as he and offensive coordinator Mike Martz got a measure of “revenge” which eventually drive Matt Millen from his job. O’Sullivan is now firmly entrenched in Martz’s offensive scheme, as people like Alex Smith become more of a memory. The big news in San Francisco is how much balance Martz is getting out of his offense, Frank Gore is having one of the best years in his career, averaging 96 yards a game and 4.8 yards a carry. He had 130 yards against Detroit last week. That kind of balance is going to come in very handy against the Saints, who have suffered from injuries on the defensive side of the ball and can not stop the run effectively, giving up 5.3 yards a carry.
Drew Brees is doing his best to make turn lemons into lemonade (39 completions and 414 yards against Denver), but it’s now the offense that is the victim of attrition on the Saints. Deuce McAllister has not gotten into the swing of things, with just two carries thus far. Reggie Bush (3.6 ypc) is not the “every-down” back, as we have pointed out before. Pierre Thomas (3.4 ypc) is not the answer either. Jeremy Shockey has been knocked out of action, and will be out for about three or four weeks. Marques Colston has that thumb injury which has him sidelined; David Patten, a “healthy” receiver, has a groin injury.
Technical numbers don’t support the New Orleans cause either, as the Saints have covered just three of their last 12 at the Superdome. The total might be somewhere to look, as New Orleans has played eight overs in a row, but we’re impressed by San Francisco’s confidence, balance and efficiency under O’Sullivan (67% accurate). The Niner defense also holds up its end a lot better. Let’s grab the points with San Francisco, the 5.5-point underdog in the BetUS Sportsbook betting odds.
