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Week 3 Texans vs. Titans NFL Predictions

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans Odds & Trends

BetUS NFL Betting Odds: TENNESSEE -5, Total 39
NOTABLE STAT: Titans have allowed 121 rushing yards in two games
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Houston is 1-7 SU & ATS in its last eight on road.

The Houston Texans (0-1 SU & ATS), rebounding from a tough week in which they didn’t even play, will take to the road on Sunday as they tackle the Tennessee Titans (2-0 SU & ATS) in NFL action that is set to kick off at 1 PM ET at LP Field (natural turf) in Nashville.

In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the Titans are listed as a five-point favorite, with a posted total of 39 points.

Here are some NFL betting trends as they relate to this matchup (reflecting numbers going into the 2008 season):

* HOU has played five of its last six games OVER the total
* HOU has lost seven of its last eight road games SU
* HOU has covered one of its last eight road games
* HOU has played eight of its last 11 road games OVER the total
* TENN has covered four of its last six games
* TENN has won five of its last six games SU
* TENN has played its last five games UNDER the total
* TENN has won six of its last eight home games SU
* TENN has played six of its last nine home games UNDER the total

Also…

* TENN has covered five of the last six meetings
* TENN has won the last six meetings SU
* Six of the last seven meetings have gone OVER the total
* TENN has won five of the last six meetings SU as the home team

The Houston Texans got an unexpected week off as a result of Hurricane Ike hitting Texas. Reportedly five of the eight panels on Reliant Stadium came off. I don’t even know what that means, but it sounds severe. And after re-scheduling the game with Baltimore for Monday night, then postponing it, the Texans have been on an irregular regiment, to be sure.

That may not be the right way to go into a game with Tennessee, which under Jeff Fisher has been one of the NFL’s mentally toughest teams. How tough? Well, all of the controversy surrounding Vince Young, which includes not just his ineptitude and injury but also his reported contemplation of suicide, were enough to distract any NFL team. But the Titans have looked pretty formidable in their first two games, especially on the defensive side, where they have permitted just 404 total yards, and only 121 on the ground. Fisher has announced that Kerry Collins is going to be the team’s starting quarterback, regardless of when Young comes back from his injury, if the team continues to win. That was a proclamation that at least insures a little bit of stability.

Betus And one can argue (as we have in the past) that the presence of Collins, a more refined passer than Young, makes the Tennessee air attack more formidable, even though Collins does very little with his legs. And Collins, who has had his share of off-the-field troubles in the past, still provides more leadership than Young, who refused to go back into the season opener after getting booed by the Nashville fans.

Collins has support, for sure. Chris Johnson has now rushed for 202 yards in his first two NFL games, and he and LenDale White are going to be a handful for defenses to handle. While the Texans know how to rush the passer, they showed their vulnerability to the run in giving up 183 yards on the ground to Pittsburgh in their one and only game.

Inasmuch as their own running game (75 yards in the opener) may prove to still be a work in progress, Houston, which has dropped seven of its last eight on the road, both straight-up and against the number, may find itself too one-dimensional to do a lot of business against the Titans’ ferocious defense, which sacked David Garrard seven times a couple of weeks ago. We’re moving with Tennessee, the five-point favorite in the BetUS NFL betting odds.

JAY’S PLAY: TENNESSEE -5 ***

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