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NFL Week 14: Bills vs. Chiefs Predictions

NFL Betting Preview – Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

At a combined record of 7-17 SU, hardly anyone will be tuning in to watch the Chiefs host the Bills this Sunday. Yet, for you betting enthusiasts, this game can reap all sorts of merit for those of you that love to lump bad games in to your parlay bets.


In a game that’s very difficult to grade since both teams are train wrecks, what do you do?

The Bills are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on the road, but that’s completely offset by a 2-4 SU record in their past 6 road games when there’s no spread in this game. In their history, Buffalo has a 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS record advantage over the Chiefs and though these teams are both really bad, it’s easy to assume that the OVER is going to be the bet to take in this one. These teams are just one year removed form a 54-31 victory by the Bills in the 2008 BetUS NFL betting season.

Arrowhead Stadium, however, is a tough place to play and perhaps the last great home field advantage in the league outside of LP Field in Nashville. The Chiefs haven’t exactly taken advantage of home field, however, going just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 homes games and 1-11 SU in their last 12. The one nod that they have going for them is that Buffalo does not travel west very well. In games to the west of Buffalo, they’re 0-3 SU/ATS (against New Orleans, Houston and Tennessee). [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Buffalo Bills (4-8) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (3-9) >> Join Now to Bet!
Sunday, December 13th — Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas — 1:00pm EST
NFL Betting Line: PK (37)

Kansas allows way too many points on the board, with 27.2 points permitted per game ranking them 30th in the league. They also posses the worst overall home defense in the league, giving up 259.7 yards per game through the air and 144.5 yards on the ground. Considering that Terrell Owens has found a resurgence with Ryan Fitzpatrick at the helm, and that KC has nobody in their secondary that can defend him, this is going to be a touch matchup for KC.

KC made some early noise by acquiring Chris Chambers and beating Oakland and Pittsburgh, but they’ve been burned by teams in the past two weeks. They’ve lost by a combined score of 27-87 against San Diego and Denver. I don’t think Buffalo has the personnel to rip off that many points against KC, but the Bills are actually better in the secondary than you would think. They rank 12th in the league with just 212.8 yards allowed on the road, and the Chambers-Cassel connection has stalled in recent games.

The Bills have been confident in Arrowhead before, and that’s why you should lump the Bills in as one of your NFL parlay teams this weekend with no spread. They’ll take out the Chiefs handedly and this is a win you won’t have to worry about. The only thing that’s stopped the Bills effectively this year are teams with strong passing defenses. KC just simply doesn’t have what it takes to stop Owens.

Free Pick: Buffalo (OVER)

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  1. I see this game staying under the 37 point total. Both these teams are only averaging a little over 16 points per game which ranks them both near the bottom of the league. I do expect a ton of offensive firepower from either team this week.