NFL Football Sports Betting – New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs (1-8 SU, 5-4 ATS) lost a heart-breaker last week, despite the fact that they played well. On Sunday they will try to regroup at home as they take on the New Orleans Saints (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) in NFL football sports betting action that is set to kick off at 1 PM ET at Arrowhead Stadium (natural turf) in Kansas City, MO.
Sunday, November 16
BetUS NFL betting odds: NEW ORLEANS -5.5, Total 50.5
NOTABLE STAT: Chiefs are allowing 5.2 yards per rushing attempt
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Kansas City is 1-8 SU in its last nine home games
In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the Saints are listed as a 5.5-point favorite, with a posted total of 50.5 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* NO has played 11 of its last 14 games OVER the total
* NO has covered one of its last five road games
* NO has lost its last five road games SU
* NO has played five of its last six road games OVER the total
* KC has covered four of its last six games
* KC has lost 17 of its last 18 games SU
* KC has lost eight of its last nine home games SU
* KC has played four of its last five home games OVER the total
You know, Herm Edwards could have talked about how much confidence he had in his offense when he went for two points at the end of the game against San Diego. Instead, after the game he said, “We were so beat up on defense, it wouldn’t have been fair not to go for two points, because we just about ran out of bodies.”
The Chiefs have been game, for sure. Their last three losses have been by a total of eight points. Larry Johnson is back from his suspension, which is good, because Jamaal Charles has been limited in practice due to his ankle injury. Tyler Thigpen is not a high percentage passer (54%), but he’s thrown eight TD passes with just four interceptions, so he’s been far from tragic. And he has actually been breathing some life into this offense, as Kansas City has gone to more of a spread look.
The real problems for the Chiefs are on the defensive side. They have six starters injured; how many will play on Sunday is yet to be determined. But this unit has only generated six sacks all year, and they have allowed opponents to have success 51% of the time on third down. Kansas City has not stopped the run all year either, giving up 5.2 yards a pop, and that is music to the Saints’ ears, especially if they can get Reggie Bush back into the lineup this week (knee injury). Drew Brees had three interceptions last week against Atlanta, but that was an anomaly. Brees has thrown for 17 TD’s, 2985 yards, 8.25 yards an attempt, and he’s been sacked only eight times. He could sit back there and have all day against this non-existent pass rush.
At the same time, Thigpen, who can make some plays with his movement, should find life a little bit easier without having to deal with New Orleans corner Mike McKenzie, who is out for the year after cracking his knee cap (that must hurt). So we’re going to move OVER the 50.5 points as it is posted in the BetUS NFL pro football betting odds. Technical trends (see above) support it as well.
