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Week 1 Jets vs. Texans NFL Predictions

The New York Jets and the Houston Texans will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Reliant Stadium. We preview and pick this week 1 matchup that sees the Texans favored by 5…

NFL Sunday Football Betting: Jets Invade Texas

BetUS NFL betting odds: HOUSTON -5, Total 43.5
In the BetUS NFL betting odds, the Texans are listed as a five-point favorite, with a posted total of 43.5 points.

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Here are some NFL betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

NY is 0-5 ATS in its last five games
NY has lost four of its last five games SUNY has lost 12 of its last 17 games SU
HOU has covered six of its last seven games
HOU has won five of its last six games SU
HOU has played 12 of its last 18 games OVER the total
HOU has played four of its last six games UNDER the total
HOU has covered four of its last five home games
HOU has won six of its last seven home games SU
HOU has played six of its last nine home games OVER the total

In the pre-season, Mark Sanchez completed 19 of 32 passes for 280 yards and two touchdowns. Everybody with the Jets, were sufficiently impressed with him that they basically handed the team over to him and there wasn’t much of an argument. Of course, if you were Kellen Clemens, how COULD you possibly argue with it? Sanchez did look cool under pressure, enough to impress those involved in NFL betting, although he will face some threat out of Houston’s two outstanding defenders, Mario Williams and Demeco Ryans.

There is quite a bit of difference between the way these teams defend against the run. The Jets were somewhat stiff up front last year, allowing just 3.7 yards per attempt and 95 yards a game. By contrast, the Texans just LOOKED like stiffs, surrendering a robust 4.5 yards a try on the part of opponents. One would think the Jets’ “D” would only get better under the direction of new coach Rex Ryan, who could make them a much better NFL betting pick.

Meanwhile, Gary Kubiak was very frustrated with Houston’s effort against ground attacks in the pre-season, as the Texans allowed 173 yards against the Saints, then 180 against the Minnesota Vikings. The Jets should be able to exercise some ball control, using not just Thomas Jones, who ran for 1312 yards last year to lead the AFC, but rookie Shonn Greene of Iowa, who may turn out to be a pleasant surprise (but who has some rib concerns), and Leon Washington, who is dynamic as a speedy rushing/receiving hybrid.

We realize that Rex Grossman played very nicely in the Texans’ final pre-season game, but Houston is in a quarterback quandary nonetheless, as Matt Schaub has a sprained ankle. There is certainly no guarantee that Grossman, who was without a free agent offer for a while, will have any chemistry with receivers like Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels.

As far as our consideration for NFL betting is concerned, we understand that Houston has covered four of its last five home games, while Jets dropped their last five against the number in 2008, but we’re confident Sanchez will get enough ground support here, and that the Jets will sustain enough clock-chewing drives to justify grabbing the number with New York, the five-point underdog in the BetUS NFL betting odds.

OUR PLAY: N.Y. JETS +5 ***

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By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"