Brett the Jet Visits Redemption Seeking Pennington, Dolphins
The New York Jets (4-12 SU, 6-9-1 ATS in 2007) are all of a sudden loaded with hope. On Sunday they will start the season with a game that brings quite a storyline with it, as they travel to south Florida to play the Miami Dolphins (1-5 SU, 5-9-2 ATS), who currently employ nor only the Jets’ former quarterback, but their former coach as well, in an NFL game that is set to kickoff at 1 PM ET at Dolphins Stadium (natural turf) in Miami.
Sunday, September 7
BetUS NFL Betting Odds: N.Y. JETS -3, Total 36
NOTABLE STAT: Miami was last in rushing defense in 2007 (allowing 153,5 ypg)
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Jets are 8-0-1 ATS in last nine meetings
In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the Jets are listed as a three-point road favorite, with a posted total of 36 points.
Here are some NFL betting trends as they relate to this matchup (reflecting numbers going into the 2008 season):
* NYJ have lost ten of their last 13 games SU
* NYJ have played six of their last seven games UNDER the total
* NYJ have lost eight of their last nine road games SU
* NYJ have covered three of their last four road games
* MIA is 5-9-2 ATS in its last 16 games
* MIA has lost 18 of its last 19 games SU
* MIA has played four of its last five games OVER the total
* MIA has lost eight of its last nine home games SU
* MIA has covered two of its last nine home games
* MIA has played six of its last eight home games OVER the total
Also…
* NYJ are 8-0-1 ATS in the last nine meetings
* NYJ have won seven of the last eight meetings SU
* Four of the last five meetings have gone OVER the total
* NYJ have covered the last five meetings as the home team
* NYJ have won seven of the last ten meetings SU as the road team
Jets fans started the pre-season with the idea that they were going to wind up with the lesser of two evils at the quarterback spot, with Chad Pennington battling it out against Kellen Clemens. But then the big trade was made to land Brett Favre, and Erik Mangini, who has little hope of competing on even terms with New England in the unbalanced AFC East, has to be feeling a lot better about his chances of being in the running for a wild card slot.
Favre has some receivers to work with, but hasn’t had much time to do it in. And Thomas Jones, the running back brought over from Chicago last year, ran for just 3.6 yards a pop. On the plus side, there is an offensive line that has a chance to be a very serviceable unit. The Jets have an offense that at least can compete in the NFL.
Pennington has also inspired some confidence among his teammates, who thought they might be looking at rookie Chad Henne starting the season because Josh McCown (since dealt) and John Beck were so subpar in training camp. The Dolphins may be able to run the ball with Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams, but Ted Ginn still has some developing to do at wideout, and there is little to complement him. Defense is a problem with this crew, which gave up more yards on the ground than anybody last year. And Bill Parcells dealing Jason Taylor away was an obvious sign that they are willing to take lumps now to benefit later.
Most of the time we would scoff at the idea of laying a field goal on the road in a season opener with a team that won just four games the year before. But that would be to ignore the Jets’ recent history against Miami, which has been nothing but profitable. And then again, the Dolphins have not eaten home cooking in a while, dropping eight of their last nine straight-up at its eponymous stadium. With Favre now at the controls, New York should be at least a lot less predictable. And no one really knows what to expect from this Miami team that is still very short on quality personnel.
We don’t believe in Parcells’ reclamation project until his administration demonstrates otherwise. So we’re going to ride with the trends and lay the points with the Jets, the three-point favorite in the BetUS NFL football betting odds.
JAY’S PLAY: N.Y. JETS -3 ***
Sunday September 7, 2008
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