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Week 11: Buffalo vs. Cincinnati Preview & Pick

Week 11: Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview Free NFL Football Pick

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After earning their first win of the season in Toronto last week, the Buffalo Bills are trying to keep their momentum rolling. There’s no better opponent to do that against than the reeling Cincinnati Bengals.

Bills at Bengals

Date: Sunday, November 21, 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Broadcast: CBS
Bills vs. Bengals lines from bodog.com
Bills: +5.5
Bengals: -5.5
Total: 44
Bet Now @ Bodog.com

Cincinnati (2-7, 3-6 ATS) has dropped six consecutive games, including a messy 23-17 loss to the Colts last week. If there’s a silver lining, it’s that the Bengals covered for the first time in six games.

Though the stats may say otherwise, Carson Palmer has struggled this season. It continued against the Colts last week; Palmer threw for 292 yards, yet he killed his team with three interceptions and three sacks. It was part of a five-turnover day for the Bengals. The inept passing game has handcuffed Cedric Benson and the rushing attack, which is grinding out just 92 yards per contest. Last week, Benson carried 14 times for just 24 yards. Usually when the Bengals score, their opponents have shifted into a prevent defense and are coasting to a double-digit victory.

On the other side of the ball, the Bengals have been solid over the past few games—but they need to be great to bail out a victory. Creating some big plays would be a start. Cincy failed to record a takeaway against the Colts, and it has just nine sacks on the year, second-worst in the year. That said, they did a great job against Peyton Manning, limiting him to just 185 yards and 16 points (the other touchdown was scored by Indy’s defense).

Buffalo (1-8, 4-4-1 ATS) is riding high after getting its first win of the year. Despite the mounting losses, the Bills have actually been pretty strong on NFL odds over the last month, going 3-0-1 against the spread in their past four games.

Ryan Fitzpatrick has made the passing game at least some sort of threat, while the decision to turn most of the running responsibilities to Fred Jackson is a good one. Rookie C.J. Spiller wasn’t getting the job done, yet Jackson racked up 133 rush yards and a touchdown; he added another 37 yards and a touchdown through the air.

The defense is getting the job done against weaker competition, which is about all you can ask. Against Kansas City, Chicago and Detroit over the last three weeks, Buffalo has allowed 13, 22 and 12 points—not too shabby. The team is very susceptible to the run, however, at 166 yards per game.

Buffalo isn’t as bad as its record indicates, and they’re taking care of business on the spread. Cincinnati, meanwhile, has looked terrible on offense for most of the season. Buffalo should have some success running the ball and Fitzpatrick will make one or two big plays; it’ll be enough to keep the game close and cover, if not an outright Bills victory.

Buffalo at Cincinnati pick: Buffalo +5.5



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About Ian Van Den Hurk

Ian Van Den Hurk has covered amateur and pro sports for years, including a successful run handicapping anything from football to mixed martial arts. Looking for more sports betting tips and expert sports handicapping articles from Ian V? We've got your back...