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Sportsbook Gambling? Our Top Super Bowl Wagering Trends

Inside The Gambling Stats For Super Bowl XLV Bettors!

With so much money being invested in the Super Bowl  (10 billion I heard) everyone is looking for the right trends and angles to make big money…and to make that decision as easy as possible.  Here are some interesting pieces of information to consider.

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When Pittsburgh is involved in the Super Bowl the favourite always wins.  Pittsburgh was the favourite in everyone of their six successful Big Game visits.  The one time they weren’t favoured they lost to Dallas 27-17 in Super Bowl 30 to Troy Aikman and Co.  Their ATS record in those games is an even 3-3-1.  When they lost they covered the spread against heavily favoured Dallas who was a 13.5 point fave…ohh by the way the Steelers are underdogs as it stand right now.

The Pittsbugh Steelers are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games as an underdog.  Those 51 games go back quite a ways as this team is only an underdog a few times per season (4 times this season).  This squad transitioned from Bill Cowher to Mike Tomlin seamlessly and enters most contests with the real and betting worlds expecting them to win.  They were 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season…What those numbers are telling me is that If you are going to bet against them you better be sure.  (7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS as a dog the last three seasons).

On the Green Bay side of things I found this trend.  The Packers are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.  This season the Packers were second (Pittsburgh was 1st) in the NFL giving up an average of only 15ppg.  In 7 of their 19 games this season they allowed less than 15 points including a particularly stingy stretch where they gave up just 10 points over a three game stretch.  I have been looking at their opponents from this year, trying to come up with one I think is most comparable in style to Steelers and I think the best example might be the New York Jets.  With the exception of QB, where Ben Roethlisberger has a huge advantage over Mark Sanchez, I think the Steelers and Jets are similar in style and personnel.  The Packers shut out New York on the road on Halloween 9-0.

One last piece of data I want to throw your way on the Green Bay side is from the epic game the Packers had against the Steelers last year and it is the number 2.  Can you guess what that number represents?  That is the number of tackles that monster DL B.J. Raji assisted on last year in that game.  There is a lot of talk about how Steelers centre Maurkice Pouncey is recovering from injury this week and how it will affect the Steelers.  To me whether he is in their or not the Steelers will need to commit extra guys to stopping Raji who has really emerged in his second season.  If you agree then the Steelers should logically have some trouble defending the aggressive Packers defense.  It just might be the difference.

I am still sticking with the Packers



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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.