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Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts Gambling Odds & Week 14 Free NFL Pick

Tennessee vs Indianapolis Betting!

The Colts have been one of the surprising teams in the league this season and they are 8-4 on the season and 5-1 at home. Indy has won 2 straight and 6 of their last 7 and on top of that they already beat the Titans in their house a few weeks back.

Venue/ Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, December 9, 2012
NFL Odds From: JustBet
Moneyline: Titans +200 / Colts -240
Spread: Colts -5
Over/Under:  48

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Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts Preview

The 4-8 Titans have lost 2 in a row and 4 of their last 5 and in their last 2 games they have only averaged 14.5 ppg. NFL lines have the Colts as 5-point home favorites in this game with a total of 48.

In their last games the Colts had a great comeback in their 35-33 win over the Detroit Lions while the Titans lost to the Houston Texans 24-10.

This season the 4-8 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 6-6 and the Colts are 8-4 ATS with an Over/Under record of 5-7.

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Andrew Luck has been impressive this season and in the Lions win he had 2 TD passes in the last 2 minutes. However, while he passed for almost 400 yards against Detroit he was picked off 3 times and has 7 INT in his last 3 games. WR Reggie Wayne is his main target and ranks 3rd in the league in receptions. Luck will be facing a Tennessee pass defense that ranks 20th in the league and their pass rush only ranks 23rd.

Vick Ballard and Donald Brown have combined for almost 900 yards this season and they need to run the ball to help Luck out. There is a good chance that will happen since the Titans’ run defense only ranks 23rd in the league.

The Titans had a pretty good game on offense in the loss to Houston with 354 total yards. Jake Locker had 309 passing yards with 1 TD in the game, but he was picked off 3 times. He has a decent WR corps led by Nate Washington, who is averaging 16.7 yards per catch. The Colts pass defense ranks 20th in the league and they gave up 313 passing yards last week.[soliloquy id=”82219″]

Locker has to hold onto the rock in this game and in the last 2 games he has 7 turnovers.

Chris Johnson struggled last week after averaging over 120 rushing in his previous 6 games and he may get back on track in this game since the Colts gave up 138 rushing yards last week. To keep the ball out of Luck’s hands the Titans will look to run the ball often and if they are successful they have a chance to pull off the upset.

In some betting trends for this AFC South match up the Titans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games, and they have an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

The Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games, and they have an Under record of 10-1 in their last 11 home games.

Jason’s Pick: The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams, but that trend will not continue. The Colts are solid at home where they play better D and with Luck playing well he will lead Indy to a win and they will cover.

By Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.