Tampa Bay vs New Orleans Betting!
A few weeks back the Bucs were hot and in the playoff picture, but they have lost 3 straight and if they lose this game they can kiss their playoff hopes goodbye.
Venue/ Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, December 16, 2012
NFL Odds
Moneyline: Bucs +165 / Saints -145 at Bovada
Spread: Saints -3.5
Over/Under: 53.5
ATS Matchup Stats | Gambling Insight!
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Preview
The Saints have also lost 3 straight and their defense is one of the worst in the NFL ranking dead last against the run and 30th in the league against the pass. NFL lines have the Saints as 3.5-home favorites with a total of 53.5.
In their last games the Bucs lost to the Philadelphia Eagles 23-21 and the Saints lost to the New York Giants 52-27.
On the season the Bucs are 9-3-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 9-4 and the Saints are at 6-7 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 8-5.
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Earlier this season in Tampa Bay the Saint beat the Bucs 35-28.
Josh Freeman passed for 320 yards in the earlier loss to the Saints and while he passed for 2 TD’s in the loss to the Eagles he only completed 14 of 34 passes for 189 yards. WR’s Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams are each averaging over 16 yards per catch and the struggling New Orleans secondary cannot let these guys make the big play.
A big key in this game will be for the Bucs to run the ball to keep Drew Brees and the dynamic Saints’ pass offense on the sidelines.[soliloquy id=”82219″]
Even in the loss last week Tampa Bay rookie RB Doug Martin rushed for nearly 130 yards last week in the loss to Philly and he will get a lot of touches in this game and if he can run the ball well the Bucs have a chance, but if not Freeman may have to light up the scoreboard for Tampa to win.
Drew Brees leads the great New Orleans passing offense and he has not lack of targets. However, he has not looked good with 1 TD and 7 INT in his last 2 games. However, there is a good chance he will get back on track facing a Bucs’ pass defense that ranks dead last in the NFL.
While the Bucs’ pass defense ranks last their run defense ranks 1st. The Saints have a slew of RB’s, but they have not played well in the last few games.
The Saints need a better showing from their special teams’ defense, as last week in the loss to the Giants they gave up nearly 290 yards on 6 kickoff returns.
In some betting trends for this NFC South match up the Bucs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
The Saints are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they have an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
Jason’s Pick: The Saints have a terrible defense and issues with the running game, but with Brees facing the Tampa Bay pass defense he will torch them and New Orleans will win and cover.
