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Week 14 Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland Prediction

NFL Betting – Steelers vs Browns Thursday Night Pick

How about a sportsbook warmup before the weekend’s NFL and NCAA football action? The Steelers and Browns aren’t exactly a hot matchup but Pittsburgh sure has a lot to play for. Is there any chance their injuries – and possibly the elements – doom them again?

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Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns
Thursday, December 10, 8:20 p.m. ET

Sports betting favorite: Steelers -10

What do to do with these defending Super Bowl champion Pittsburgh Steelers? The hangover myth is coming true again as they’ve lost four straight games for the first time in five years. At first glance, it’s tough to see what the problem is. They’re still scoring and, statistically, they have a strong defense, including the best run-stopping unit in the league.

It seems the chink in the armor, however, is in the secondary. Any doubt about Troy Polamalu’s value to the “D” is long gone; without him, the Steelers are 4-1 with him in the lineup and 2-5 without him this season. Opponents keep beating Pittsburgh deep at crucial moments in situations where Polamalu would normally jump the play and go for the pick. It’s not just elite offenses, either. Matt Cassel and the Chiefs stole an overtime win from Pittsburgh and last week Bruce Gradkowski led Oakland on a massive game-winning drive, earning AFC Player of the Week honors in the process.Bet on NFL at Playersonly.com

Considering that Cleveland’s Brady Quinn has found himself of late, throwing for seven touchdowns versus no interceptions over his last three starts, is Pittsburgh in trouble again? I wouldn’t go that far. First off, Quinn’s stats are inflated by a matchup with Detroit and a game against San Diego’s overrated pass defense last week.

More importantly, the Browns are football’s worst defensive team, allowing 400.3 yards of offense per game, and there’s nothing wrong with Pittsburgh’s offense. Ben Roethlisberger is enjoying one of his best seasons and is now the clear-cut focal of the Steelers’ attack. Rashard Mendenhall has flourished in his first season as a starting running back and should churn up a ton of yards Thursday night if Pittsburgh grabs an early lead.

The forecast is for ugly weather, meaning the better running team has the advantage. Not only do the Steelers run the ball much better, they allow fewer rushing yards per game than other team in the NFL. If that isn’t enough to justify the Steelers as NFL picks, remember that this is a must-win game. A seventh loss could virtually eliminate the defending champs and they’ve shown a knack for clutch play in recent years.

Even if Hines Ward doesn’t play, Pick Pittsburgh with confidence.

Steelers vs. Browns Betting Trends to consider:
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh’s last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home

NFL betting pick: Steelers -10

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Comments

Comments

  1. You just have to go with the Steelers -10 in this one against the worst team in the league. This should be like a brisk practice designed to work out the kinks in some of their previous losses.

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