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Bills vs. Chiefs Gambling & NFL Free Prediction (Week 1)

Gambling Matchup Week 1 – Buffalo Bills vs K.C. Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs will host the Buffalo Bills in their season opener, and are intent on proving that their success in 2010 wasn’t a fluke and that they are a team to be reckoned with.  

Similarly, the Bills look to prove that the progress that they made last year will be built upon and that their rebuilding process is continuing in the right direction.

Bills vs. Chiefs
Venue/Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
Time/Date: 1:00 PM Sunday, September 11, 2011
NFL Odds From: Bookmaker.com —>
Moneyline: Kansas City -255, Buffalo Bills +215
Spread (ATS): Kansas City -7, +110
Over/Under: 40, -110

Grab The In Depth ATS Betting Report – Click Here!

The AFC West is completely up for grabs this season, despite everyone’s fascination with the San Diego Chargers, and the Chiefs will look to grab their second division title after winning their first since 2003 a season ago.

However, anyone who is brushing the Bills aside in the AFC East playoff picture is making a big mistake. The team has a hungry quarterback in Ryan Fitzpatrick and a tough defense, led by linebacker Shawne Merriman.

Injuries have limited Merriman to 18 games in the past three seasons, but if he can return to his Pro Bowl form of 2005-07, when he registered 39.5 sacks during that span with San Diego, the Bills could find themselves in a good position come playoff time.

That type of defensive performance will need to start this Sunday against the Chiefs who come into this game boasting the number-one running game from 2010, and a squad that is fully intact and healthy.

The Chief’s season will be won and lost in their running game, and the Bills, who were dead last in rushing yards allowed in 2010, need to turn things around.

Kansas City’s starting quarterback Matt Cassel, who will play with injured ribs, is expected to make even more strides in his third year with the team. If Cassel doesn’t take his game to the next level, it will be his fault. The front office in Kansas City has provided Cassel with all the offensive weapons he needs to succeed. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

If Cassel doesn’t get the job done against Buffalo, it will be tough for the team to rebound, as the rest of their schedule is fairly tough.

For Buffalo, if they win this game it would be an excellent step in the right direction, and could lead to even more success for a team that is trying to build not only a good team, but an identity for that team.

The Chiefs were 7-1 at home in 2010 including defeating Buffalo 13-10 last season when Ryan Succop kicked a 35-yard field goal on the final play of overtime.

NFL Week 1 Trends:

Under is 10-3 in BUF last 13 games in Week 1.
BUF are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
BUF are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
KC are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
Under is 15-6 in KC last 21 games in September.
Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

Matt’s Prediction: Kansas City 17, Buffalo 10

This really isn’t a tough game to pick, as the Bills face a team that is strongest in the running game, something they have been atrocious at stopping as of late. The Bills’ only hope at winning this game is if Fitzpatrick explodes offensively and they can hold the Chiefs to under 200 yards rushing.

But I wouldn’t count on either of those happening at once.

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Comments

  1. yikes….

  2. yikes….

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