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Sunday Night Colts vs. Texans Odds & Free NFL Pick

Indianapolis vs Houston Betting?

Colts Visit Texans in Key AFC South Battle

Two teams coming off their much needed byes meet in Houston Sunday when the Colts who have taken a stranglehold on their division meet the Texans who were supposed to challenge for the AFC South but have absolutely fallen flat.

Indianapolis Colts (5-2) at Houston Texans (2-5)
When: 8:30 PM ET, Sunday, November 3, 2013
Where: Reliant Stadium, Houston, Texas
Broadcast: NBC
Colts vs. Texans Betting Lines
Indianapolis Colts -2½ -110 -140 Ov 44 -110
Houston Texans +2½ -110 +120 Un 44 -110

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The Colts have looked tremendous in beating teams like the 49ers, the Seahawks and the Broncos while the Texans have lost five straight games and will be going with no-name QB Case Keenum – a mismatch on paper and maybe on the field too.

The Indianapolis Colts look like the full package don’t they – passing, rushing and yes, even defensively the Colts look like the real deal! At 5-2 on the season they can go a long way in clinching their division this weekend and after a week of rest, the look poised to do just that.

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Andrew Luck has been great this season at quarterback for the Colts, passing for 1,574 yards and 10 touchdowns. He is the leader that absolutely everyone craves. He can throw, he can run the ball and most of all he can lead – the Texans would love even a small slice of those qualities!

Reggie Wayne is gone for the season leaving impressive TY Hilton and his 27 catches for 412 yards and two scores to become the man. Darrius Heyward-Bey will be asked to step up as well. But make no mistake about it this team is a lot different without Wayne in the fold.

Some production from Trent Richardson would be nice this week! He is averaging three yards per carry since his acquisition – something I am sure was a focus for the Colts during their bye week.

Defensively Indianapolis ranks eighth in points allowed per game while also ranking 13th in passing yards allowed per game. Unfortunately, their poor run defense, ranking 29th in the league, brings down the total defense to a 20th ranking in the NFL. The Colts have overachieved on defense and have brought this team from a second to a top tier team. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Now for the Texans – five straight losses has the team questioning where Head Coach Gary Kubiak will be next season. Matt Schaub has been a disaster forcing the team to go with unheralded Case Keenum – I know! Keenum didn’t play that bad against one of the best defenses in the league in Week 7, the Chiefs but he didn’t win the game either. He has André Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins to throw to which may be the reason he looked decent.

The Texans have been dealing with a few injuries as well – Arian Foster has been nicked up all season long but as long as you have him in the backfield you should have a chance. Foster has been OK this year with 542 yards and a touchdown but a whole lot more will be needed from him going forward.

Defensively, the Texans have the top defense in the league in terms of yards allowed per game and passing yards allowed per contest – a tad misleading when looking at the overall product. They are 27th in points allowed per game and an unimpressive 28th in rushing yards allowed. The loss of Brian Cushing for the season is huge – they certainly aren’t the unit most expected when the season started.

Sunday Night Football Betting Prediction:

A few trends to consider:

• IND are 8-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 6-1-1 in IND last 8 games in November.
• Under is 19-7 in IND last 26 vs. AFC.
• HOU are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• HOU are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in November.
• HOU are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 9.
• Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Houston.

Texans aren’t a bad team at all, ranking in the top half on both Offense and Defense – surprising when considering their recent free-fall. Turnovers (pick 6’s) have killed them.

The Colts haven’t won in Houston in four years and are facing a desperate Texans team this week which should make for a closer game than most think.

That said the Colts have been winning with a minimal contribution from Trent Richardson. I think he shows up this week and takes the Colts to an even different level. The Texans have no answer for the Colts –Indy’s losing streak in Houston ends convincingly.

Pick: Indianapolis Colts -2 1/2

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About DaveB

Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.


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