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Sunday Night Broncos vs. Patriots Odds & Free NFL Prediction

Denver vs New England Betting?

AFC Heavyweight Battle – Broncos Head to Foxborough to Take On Patriots

One of the best quarterback rivalries in the history of the NFL writes another chapter on Sunday night when the Peyton Manning-led Denver Broncos head to New England to take on the Tom Brady-led New England Patriots.

Denver (9-1) at New England (7-3)
When: 8:30 PM ET, Sunday, November 24, 2013
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
Broadcast: NBC
Broncos vs. Patriots Betting Lines
Denver Broncos -2½ -110 -135 Ov 56 -110
New England Patriots +2½ -110 +115 Un 56 -110
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The Broncos answered a few questions last week when they defeated the previously unbeaten Chiefs while the Pats’ performance against Carolina created a few question marks ahead of this week`s showdown. Sunday night has all the makings of yet another classic between the two pivots – let`s break it down.

The Denver Broncos enter Sunday night’s game with some key injury questions – ones that likely won’t be answered until late in the week. Wes Welker went down against KC with a concussion and stud Tight End Julius Thomas is dealing with a knee injury. But Peyton Manning exists and as long as he still has an arm, he will be chucking it all over the park.

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Manning has completed 69.9 percent of his passes for 34 touchdowns and just six interceptions – incredible, record-pace numbers. Knowshon Moreno has rushed for 600 yards and Montee Ball scored twice Sunday night. Wes Welker has 61 catches and nine touchdowns, Demaryius Thomas has 60 catches and nine touchdowns, and Julius Thomas has 45 catches and 10 touchdowns – there are plenty of throws to go around for Broncos receivers.

Five Broncos have at least 37 catches on the year – unreal! As mentioned – Manning could be without Welker and Thomas – that’s 105 catches and 19 TDs that will be out of the lineup!

Defensively the Broncos have been bad despite some legitimate playmakers on the squad. They allow 35.5 points and 371.8 yards per game and they are minus two in turnover ratio. Tom Brady looms to test a beatable Denver D.
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The New England Patriots have shrugged off all the issues that surrounded the season of change. The revamped offense is averaging 25.4 points and 364 yards per game – incredible considering the adjustments this team was forced to make game in and game out this year.

Tom Brady is still Tom Brady – he has completed 58.7 percent of his passes for 2,552 yards with 14 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Julian Edelman has stepped up with 52 receptions, Aaron Dobson has 35 catches, and a finally healthy Rob Gronkowski is making a difference again – 24 catches in two games while Danny Amendola appears to be healthy once again – hi is the Welker that Brady needs!

New England’s offense has been forced into becoming more balanced – Steven Ridley, LaGarrette Blount, and Brandon Bolden have combined for 11 rushing touchdowns this season – a dimension that has taken a ton of pressure off Brady and has given the opposition something to think about.

Defensively new England allows 19.9 points and 354.9 yards per game. They have been a bend, not break unit that has once again had a knack of creating some much needed turnovers. Adrian Wilson, Jerod Mayo and Vince Wilfork are out for the season for New England, and defensive backs Alfonzo Dennard (knee) and Steve Gregory (thumb) missed last week’s game.

Cornerback Aqib Talib may be limited again this week which should allow Manning to do whatever he wants.

Sunday Night Football Betting Prediction

A few trends to consider:

• Over is 13-3-1 in DEN last 17 games on fieldturf.
• DEN are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in November.
• Over is 15-5-1 in DEN last 21 vs. AFC.
• NE are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
• Over is 40-18-1 in NE last 59 games on fieldturf.

New England is 4-0 against the spread in their last four home games but are 2-5 against the spread against the AFC. Denver is 10-4-1 against the spread in their last 15 games, and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 road games. The Patriots have won three straight over the Broncos – including a 45-10 playoff rout Jan. 14, 2012, with Tim Tebow starting for Denver – and Brady is 9-4 in his lifetime matchups with Manning.

The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings.

Injuries will go a long way in determining the victor of this game. If Welker and Thomas are out – advantage Pats but if they play – you have to think the Broncos can outscore the Pats. It is unfathomable to think the Patriots are home dogs but I think in this case it is warranted – too many injuries on defense for this team to be considered top tier at the moment.

The Broncos are simply the most dominant team in the game right now – hard to see anyone slowing them the rest of the way!

Pick: Denver Broncos -2 1/2

By DaveB

Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.