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New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Gambling Prediction & Week 12 Preview

New Orleans vs Atlanta NFL Football Spread/Handicapping

Expected to challenge each other for the NFC South title these teams could not be more opposite right now. The New Orleans Saints have played to expectations, leading the division with an 8-2 record – on some days they look like the best team in the NFL.

New Orleans Saints (8-2) vs Atlanta Falcons (2-8)
Thursday November 21
Georgia Dome – Atlanta, GA
8:25PM
Moneyline: New Orleans -410, Atlanta +330
Spread: New Orleans -9.5
O/U: 53

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The Atlanta Falcons have been decimated by injuries and not played well at all – they are challenging the Houston Texans for the title of greatest disappointment…and they might be winning.

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Maybe worst of all they are not even ahead of the now streaky Tampa Bay Bucs anymore.

New Orleans

I thought the Saints would blow out San Francisco last week but instead we got a push on our -3 opening number (hope you bet it early). Though it wasn’t a payoff for bettors it proved that the Saints could win at home even if they don’t score a million points.
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They were solid running the ball and QB Drew Brees completed passes to an amazing 11 different receivers.

I want to laud their defense for holding down 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick but it seems that everybody is doing that these days (that is SF’s big problem), however, anytime to hold an offense to less than 200 yards you are going to have a great chance to win.

Did you know they are 4th in yards allowed this year? New Orleans is going to be awfully tough to beat this season that is for sure.

Atlanta

When the Falcons lost to the Saints in the opener on the road the reaction was like “no big deal, we will just get them at our place”.

Well that time has come and the Falcons are way out of the race and playing like the last place team they are. Last week was a new low when they lost on the road at Tampa which was one of the two teams they have beaten this season.

In looking at this team it is kind of easy to identify what went wrong. First the Steven Jackson experiment has been a disaster. He hasn’t been available much and when he has been on the field he has looked old and slow.

Without a running game they have been forced to pass more than they would like and injuries to wideouts Julio Jones and Roddy White have limited what Matt Ryan can do in the passing game.

It would be easy to pin it all on the offense but you can’t overlook that this team has given up the second most points in the league.

In short this team is a mess…and here come the Saints marching in.

Spread Pick: New Orleans -9.5
O/U Pick: Over
Score Prediction: New Orleans 38 – Atlanta 24

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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