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New England vs. Pittsburgh: Sunday Night Football Week 10 NFL Lines

Sunday NFL Betting – The Pats Have Brady & Belichick…But Is That Enough?

The Pittsburgh Steelers will host the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football in what could very well turn out to be the AFC Championship Game in early 2011. This is a real litmus test for both teams – particularly the Patriots, who have been heavily scrutinized after a bad loss in Cleveland.

Week 10 New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Matchup
Date/Time: Sunday, November 14th, 8:20 PM ET
Venue: Heinz Field
Broadcast: NBC
Odds: Patriots +4.5, Steelers -4.5
Total: 44.5

How Can New England Bay Win?

Play the underdog role. All it takes is one bad week and once again, everyone is discrediting the Patriots. They’re too old, they’re too slow, Brady isn’t the same, trading Moss was a mistake, Belichick can’t coach…you name it. It’s all been said.

But this is where they thrive. Time and time again, coach Belichick plays the underdog card better than any in the NFL and more often than not, it works.

The Pats aren’t pretty; they aren’t the team that was blowing everyone out and setting records a couple of years ago. But this is the 2001 squad that still gets the job done by mucking it up in the mud. They’ll have to do the same in this one.

The Cincinnati Bengals passing game had been dormant for weeks but Carson Palmer and Terrell Owens found some gaps. Brady and his precision passing game should be able to do the same.

Throw in a few Steelers injuries and the fact that they are on a short week and there is a very good opening for the Pats to surprise once again.

How Can Pittsburgh Win?

Use the Cleveland Browns blueprint from last week: run the ball, make the occasional pass and don’t make mistakes.

The Patriots may have a record of 6-2 but they could very well be a fraud. Since the Patriots traded away Randy Moss, Brady’s completion percentage has dropped by 10% and Wes Welker isn’t as much of a factor now that he faces double teams. The Pats don’t run the ball very well so beyond Brady, what do they really have?

The Steelers have a smashmouth defense, a quality running game, an elite quarterback, weapons at wide receiver and an excellent coach. Gone are the days where the Pats had the significant advantage on the sidelines.

The Steelers don’t need to do anything fancy in this one. As all of our mother’s used to say, they just need to “be themselves” and they’ll win.


The Pats could very well be a fraud. Yes, they have some nice wins on the year but a home win against Baltimore was a close shave, San Diego handed them a slew of turnovers to help them win and so did the Vikings. When a team finally didn’t make any mistakes – the Browns – they crushed New England 34-14.

The offense isn’t explosive anymore, the running game is inconsistent and the defense has holes. Beyond Brady, what do the Pats really have?

Take the Steelers to win and cover in this one while making a very clear statement.

Pick: Steelers -4.5

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About Dave Golokhov AKA Vegas Dave

Dave Golokhov has written for Playboy.com, BETUS Sportsbook, Sportsfanmagazine.com, FOX, Askmen.com, Sports-central, and the FOXSports.com Funhouse.