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Atlanta vs. Detroit Free Week 7 Preview & Pick

NFL Preview – Falcons vs Lions Free NFL Prediction

The Atlanta Falcons had to have a victory last week against Carolina and won by 14 despite being outgained for the contest.  They are still behind the eight ball in the divisional and conference playoff picture and need to get away from their win one, lose one pattern after six games.    

Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions
Ford Field – Detroit, MI
Sunday October 23 – 1:00PM
Moneyline:  Detroit -175, Atlanta +155
Spread (ATS): Detroit -3.5
Over/Under: 47
Odds courtesy of 5Dimes

Atlanta

Atlanta won last week because they played a clean game and let the Panthers beat themselves.  Against Detroit they will have to make plays to win.

When the Falcons run the ball it sets up everything for them.  Doing so against Detroit may be a challenge, although the overall numbers don’t support Detroit’s strength on the defensive line.  It looks like rookie Julio Jones is going to be out again for this one so the Falcons will have to use the methodical approach that has worked for them the past few years.  I am not buying receiver Harry Douglass as a consistent threat and neither should the Lions.

This is an important game for both teams but probably more so for the Falcons.  The last time they won at Detroit was in 2005 and they have struggled on the road this season.  They may be facing a deflated or an angry Lions squad so it will be important to jump on them early.  Their pass defense has been shredded all season long and that doesn’t bode well for the upset. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Detroit

Did you really think the Detroit Lions were going to be perfect this year?  Of course not but I thought the run would last a few weeks longer, although there should be no shame in losing to a 49ers team that is pretty good and getting better.  How the Lions respond this week will be a huge indicator of their development.  Atlanta is pretty good and they are definitely in need of a win so they are going to test these cats.

Against San Francisco the Lions had their lowest point output of the season – 19.  They got nothing done on the ground which may be part of the reason they were eager to acquire Ronnie Brown from the Eagles.  Running back should be one of the easier positions to adapt to and now they have a back who has a little more power and is a good receiver and blocker.  It is a solid move and one that can only help with their existing set of weapons.

Last week the Lions were flat.  They converted only 2 of 15 third down opportunities and Stafford threw the ball 50 times because of the lack of a running game.  On defense they were absolutely gashed for over 200 yards. To have a chance at rebounding this weekend they will have to correct that and get back to consistent offense like they have had over the first 5 weeks.  I think this could be a fun back and forth game.

ATS Pick:  Detroit -3.5
Over/Under Pick:  over
Score Prediction:  Detroit 31 – Atlanta 24

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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