NFC Conference vs AFC Conference Pro Bowl Gambling & Free Predictions
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NFL 2011 Pro Bowl Matchup Tips / Pick
Date: Sunday, January 30, 2011
Venue: Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, HI
Broadcast: FOX
Pro Bowl Betting Lines from Betus.com
Money Line: OFF
Spread: NFC -1.5
Over/Under: 62
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American Football Conference (20-20 Pro Bowl record)
The AFC roster for this year’s Pro Bowl is a good example of why it’s so darned tough to predict the Pro Bowl. For one – Tom Brady was the leading vote getter for either team but won’t play. It throws you for a loop when the top guy steps down to have foot surgery. Matt Cassel will take his place. And will Maurice Jones-Drew see much action? He played through a knee injury all year.
Interestingly enough, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise to see Cassel make a big impact. That’s who I like to focus on in the Pro Bowl: the happy-to-be-there guys who will appreciate the experience. I could definitely see Cassel and teammates Dwayne Bowe and Jamaal Charles make the biggest impact of any AFC players. Same goes for Arian Foster. Last year, first-time Pro Bowler Matt Schaub was the game’s MVP. 
National Football Conference (20-20 Pro Bowl record)
Two words: Michael Vick. If anyone fits the mold of Pro Bowler who will appreciate his time in Hawaii, it has to be him. Quite the contrast between Aloha Stadium and prison. Vick makes for a serious candidate to dominate the Pro Bowl. Since the game notoriously lacks physicality, I have to think he’ll run wild in this game. He and Calvin Johnson could make pure magic together.
The NFC also has a lot of creaky vets, however. Michael Turner, Steven Jackson, Adrian Peterson, Jason Witten and Tony Gonzalez have major tread on their tires. Since Turner, Jackson and Peterson are all power runners who seek contact, they may not make as significant an impact as the AFC guys will.
The pick:
First things first: let’s acknowledge that this game is literally a coin flip. The all-time series over 40 years is 50/50. We also don’t truly know who will play more than others and who will opt out of the game at the last minute.
But, relying on the information we have to date, I like the AFC to win this game. The NFC will have perhaps the two most dynamic offensive players on the field in Vick and Johnson but the AFC has more guys who can take advantage of the extra space available in the low-contact atmosphere. Look for Foster and the Kansas City trio to be the difference in a close, high-scoring affair.
Pro Bowl prediction: AFC 38, NFC 34
Money Line: OFF
Spread: AFC +1.5
Over/Under: OVER 62
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