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New Orleans Saints vs. St. Louis Rams Free NFL Betting Picks

New Orleans Saints vs St. Louis Rams NFL Lines

Venue/ Stadium: Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, October 30, 2011
NCAA Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Saints -800 / Rams +620
Spread (ATS): Saints -13.5
Over/Under: 48

New Orleans Saints vs. St. Louis Rams Preview

The Saints (5-2) are big betting favorites facing the Rams (0-6) in St. Louis and it is really not hard to see why, as not only are the Rams struggling, but the Saints scored more points in last week’s game (62) than St. Louis has scored all season (56). NFL lines have the Saints as 13.5-point away favorites in this NFC match up with a total of 48.

In their last games the Saints crushed the Indianapolis Colts 62-7 and the Rams were killed by the Dallas Cowboys 34-7.

Not only do the Rams have issues, big ones, on both sides of the ball, but also QB Sam Bradford is questionable for this Sunday’s game and did not practice on Thursday because of a high ankle sprain.

The Rams may need Bradford to play to have any chance to win, as while backup AJ Feely did pass for 217 yards in the loss to Dallas he was picked off and he also had a fumble. Whoever starts under center will have to deal with a Saints pass defense that ranks a respectable 16th in the league. The Rams have one of the weakest WR corps in the league and their passing offense only ranks 23rd in passing yards per game.

The Rams only rank 26th in the league in rushing yards per game and if Bradford cannot go they will have to rely on RB’s Steven Jackson and Cadillac Williams, who only has 5 carries in the last 2 games, to shoulder the offensive load.   [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Can the Rams’ defense keep Drew Brees and a Saints’ offense that is the highest scoring team in the league from lighting up the scoreboard? I would say no, as Brees not only has many targets and a legit running game, but the Rams rank 2nd to last in the league in scoring defense giving up an average of almost 29 ppg.

While the pass defense has been decent for the Rams, ranking 13th in the league, their rushing defense ranks dead last. That is not good facing a Saints’ team that has a trio of solid RB’s in Mark Ingram, Pierre Thomas, and Darren Sproles and rushed for 236 yards against the Colts in last week’s blowout win.

Betting Trends

This season the Rams are 0-6 ATS and have an Over/Under record of 2-3-1 and the Saints are 4-3 ATS and have an Over/Under record of 4-3.

The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games facing a team with a losing record.

The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog, and has an Under record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games.

Jason’s Pick: Really, a pick? Yeah, take the Saints to easily win this game and cover and take the Over, as New Orleans may score 48 points themselves.

By Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.