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New Orleans vs. Seattle NFC Wild Card Playoffs Preview & Free Pick

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks NFL Wildcard Playoffs Gambling & Free Predictions

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NFL Wild Card Playoff: Saints vs Seahawks Preview

Date: Saturday, January 8, 2010
Venue: Qwest Field, Seattle, WA
Broadcast: NBC
New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks Betting Lines from Betus.com
Money Line: OFF
Spread: Saints -11
Over/Under: 45
Bet now @ BetUs.com!

New Orleans Saints (11-5)

For the most part, the Saints gave us what we expected this season. The defending champs aired the ball out as always and produced the No. 3 passing attack in the league. Drew Brees threw for 4,620 yards and 33 scores, marching the offense downfield game in, game out.

However, largely because of injuries to Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush and Chris Ivory, the Saints lurched to the No. 28 rushing attack in the league this season. As a result, teams keyed on Brees more and he threw a career-worst 22 interceptions.

The Saints “D” was flashier last season, a turnover machine led by Darren Sharper, but it may have been better this year. New Orleans finished fourth in the NFL in both pass defense and total defense. It clearly enters the Seattle game as a massive favorite, having gone 7-2 over its last nine games.

Seattle Seahawks (7-9)

The Seahawks can sugar coat it all they want – they pretty much have to – but they should be embarrassed to become the first sub-.500 team ever to reach the playoffs. They lost five of their final seven games; they finished with the league’s 28th-ranked offense and 27th-ranked defense. But NFC West’s futility somehow helped them fall ass-backwards into a division title.

We have to give Seattle credit for at least coming up big against what was arguably a superior St. Louis team. It totally kept Sam Bradford and Steven Jackson in check. Charlie Whitehurst even did a respectable job spelling the injured Matt Hasselbeck, who will likely return this week.

But is Seattle ready to handle an offense like the Saints’? Before the Seahawks’ triumph over the Rams, they had allowed 34 or more points in five of their last six games.

The pick:

An 11-point spread for a road team is scary – even if it’s in the defending champs’ favor. Seattle is undeniably one of the NFL’s toughest places to play. Also, the Saints are absolutely riddled with injuries. Marques Colston, Jimmy Graham, Pierre Thomas, Chris Ivory, Malcolm Jenkins, Jeremy Shockey and Anthony Hargrove are all in danger of missing Saturday’s game.

In theory, an injury-plagued team trying to cover an 11-point spread on the road in a playoff game would be a fool’s bet. But we have to reiterate that Seattle is the first ever sub-.500 team in the playoffs. In other words, there has never been a team this bad in a playoff game. The Seahawks are truly awful; I don’t see how they’ll stop Brees or move the ball on the Saints’ stellar pass defense once they fall behind. So I do think the Saints can cover.

Gambling Trends:

New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 6 games when playing Seattle
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle’s last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Saints vs Seahawks prediction: Saints 30, Seahawks 14

Money Line: OFF
Spread: -11
Over/Under: UNDER 45

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About Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.