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MNF Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Gambling Odds & Week 10 Free NFL Pick

Kansas City vs Pittsburgh Betting

Typically the Monday night game is a sweet one, but not so much this week with the Steelers (5-3) taking on the Chiefs (1-7) the Steelers have won 3 straight games to get back in the playoff picture while the Chiefs have lost 5 in a row and are struggling on both sides of the ball.

Monday Night Football
Venue/ Stadium: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Time/Date: 8:30 PM EST Monday, November 12, 2012
NFL Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: Chiefs -445 / Steelers +550 at TOPBet.eu
Spread: Steelers -11.5
Over/Under:  42

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

NFL lines have the Steelers as big 11.5-point home favorites with a total of 42.

In their last games the Chiefs lost badly to the San Diego Chargers 31-13 while the Steelers won their 3rd straight with a 24-20 win over the New York Giants.


The Chiefs are only 2-6 ATS with an Over/Under record of 5-3 and the Steelers are 4-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-5.

Matt Cassel will get another start under center and he has 11 INT and 7 fumbles this season leading the Chiefs who have, but far, the most turnovers in the NFL. WR Dwayne Bowe is a legit target, but the Chiefs still do not have a good WR corps and they will be facing the Steelers, who have the top-ranked pass defense in the league.

One of the reasons the Chiefs have been stumbling is that their big gun on offense RB Jamaal Charles has really been struggling. He does not have over 100 rushing yards combined in his last 3 games and his struggles may continue facing a Pittsburgh run defense that ranks a solid 7th in the league.[soliloquy id=”82219″]

Ben Roethlisberger, who has been playing well for most of the season, leads the Steelers and he has 2 great young WR’s in Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown. Both of these guys have speed and can take it to the house every time they touch the ball and have combined for nearly 1,025 receiving yards on the season. Big Ben and these 2 WR’s may play well again and even though KC ranks 11th in the league in pass defense that unit has not played well in the last few games.

With their main RB banged up RB Jonathan Dwyer has stepped up with 2 straight games with over 100 rushing yards. He may make it 3 straight games breaking the 100+ yard barrier since the KC run defense only ranks 23rd in the league.

In some betting trends for this AFC match up the 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points, and they have an Under record of 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.

The Steelers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games and in their last 6 home games the posted total has gone Under every time.

Jason’s Pick: Even though the Steelers are not a high scoring team and they are giving 11.5 points I have to go with them facing the reeling Chiefs.


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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.