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Week 1 NFL Spreads: Dolphins vs. Bills

2010 NFL Football and Week 1 Point spread, ATS odds, moneyline betting and preview article for the Sunday football NFL clash between the Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills from writer Lawrence Paul…

NFL Week 1 – Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Preview

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(Last Years Record) MIAMI (7 – 9) at BUFFALO (6 – 10)

Date/Time: Sunday, Sept. 12 — 1 p.m.
Venue: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Buffalo, Mass.
Bills vs. Dolphins Lines
MoneyLine: Bills +160 / Dolphins -185
Spread: Dolphins -3
Over/Under: 39
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They used to say that Jon Gruden fell in love with quarterbacks but never married them. It may be time for the Dolphins to marry Chad Henne, even if it’s a Vegas-style wedding that lasts only a season. They know what they have in Chad Pennington, and it’s not enough to get them past the Patriots and Jets in the suddenly ultra-tough AFC East.

The Fins need to sink or swim with Henne, who needs an extended period of time under center to see if he can make things work in south Florida. Henne was OK – just OK – last season when Miami closed 7-9 and out of the playoffs. Twelve TDs and 14 INTs in 14 games pretty much says it all.

Problem was, the entire team tanked in the last three (season-defining) games of the year, and Henne had 5 picks total in consecutive losses to Tampa Bay, Houston and Pittsburgh.

The Fins catch a nice break by not having to travel to Buffalo late in the season. Leaving South Beach for three hours of football with ice pellets coming at you has caused the Dolphins problems in the past, but bad weather is western New York is at least a few weeks away. Sports Betting at Sportsbook.com

That should give Henne a chance to figure out things offensively.

If Henne can move from being a mistake-free game manager to someone who can win a game or two with his arm, the Dolphins might be on to something. Brandon Marshall should stretch the field a bit, and that’s only good news for a healthy Ronnie Brown.

Meanwhile, early September is always the best time of the season for the Bills, whose overall plan for this season appears to be sacrificing rookie running back C.J. Spiller behind another atrocious offensive line. After an entire decade of mediocrity in the AFC East, the Bills appear to be beginning the new decade with, well, more of the same.

Coach Chan Gailey is sticking with Trent Edwards at quarterback only until the team can draft someone decent, and besides Spiller, a decent group of linebackers and secondary, there’s not much to cheer for.

It’s hard to see Spiller playing a full schedule this season.

Head-to-Head Series History

MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Free Pick: Picks: Miami -3 and Under 39

Neither team trusts it quarterback completely, and it’s in the best interests of both team to pound the ball. Buffalo’s best shot is to create turnovers, and the more the ball is in Edwards’s hands, the better chance Miami has. Thus the somewhat low total, and it probably isn’t low enough. This game has the look and feel of 21-17, with neither team getting easy scores.

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Lawrence Paul is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog, and is a free-lance gambling and travel writer from Massachusetts.

By Lawrence Paul

Lawrence Paul is back in the saddle as a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. He's got an AMAZING knack for predicting when a team will have a letdown! Stick with our resident gambling experts sports betting tips all season long!