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Jaguars vs. Dolphins Gambling Odds & Week 15 Free NFL Pick

Jacksonville vs Miami

Battle of Fledgling Florida Teams – Jags Head to Miami in Week 15

The plummeting Miami Dolphins host the worst team in the NFL this Sunday when the Jacksonville Jaguars pay visit in a battle for Florida bragging rights. Both teams seem to have some puzzle pieces in place and both teams will be evaluating talent for next season’s roster so there is still plenty to play for. It may not be the most exciting game of the weekend but there are still jobs on the line.

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11) vs. Miami Dolphins (5-8)
Date/Time: Sunday, December 15, 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Sun Life Stadium
Broadcast: CBS
Jags vs. Dolphins Betting Lines from Sportsbook.ag
Spread: Dolphins -7 (-105)
Moneyline: Jaguars +275: Dolphins -330
Over/Under: 37 points

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The Jacksonville Jaguars have had a rough season – they have become the odd-on favorite to grab the #1 pick in next year’s draft. Injuries, ineffectiveness and a simple lack of talent in almost every aspect of the game have made life miserable for all you Jacksonville fans. But a win against Miami on Sunday could erase at least some of the ill-will surrounding this team.

The Jags have a miserable offense especially without Maurice Jones-Drew in the fold. They are a much better team with Chad Henne behind center but that isn’t saying a whole lot! Jacksonville enters Sunday’s contest as the 30th ranked scoring team, the 24th best passing team and the 29th ranked rushing squad in the NFL – yuk!

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And they are going against a Miami defense that has been pretty good this season. Translation – it is hard to trust the Jags Sunday.

The Jags offense has been bad but the defense has been equally poor! Jacksonville has the 24th ranked pass defense, they are second last in rush defense allowing 145.69 yards per game on the ground and they allow 27.62 points per game – 29th in the NFL.

The Miami Dolphins are certainly improved although their record suggests otherwise. Ryan Tannehill has looked good at times but without a true #1 receiver, the team’s ascension up the ranks has been slow. The Fins own the league’s 23rd ranked passing game and the NFL’s 19th best rushing attack but they, like the Jags have a tough time scoring points – just 18.46 per game which is 27th in the league. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Where the Dolphins have lived up to expectation is on the defensive side of the ball. Currently, Miami is a respectable 9th against the run and they are 12th in points against in the league averaging 21.23 points against per game. Where they struggle is in pass defense – 25th in the league and allowing 250 yards per game.

Betting Prediction

• The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville’s last 8 games on the road
• Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
• Jacksonville is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
• Jacksonville is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
• The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 9 games
• The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami’s last 13 games at home
• Miami is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games at home
• Miami is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Both teams are having a hard time – no doubt about it. But keep in mind that the Jaguars just allowed the Jets to come into their house and defeat them. Reggie Bush should be the difference in this one – Jacksonville has had no answers to their oppositions running games all season long. With Bush and Daniel Thomas dominating, this smells like an easy victory for the Fins. I don’t love the 7 points but I have faith that Miami will do enough to cover at home against one of the two or three worst teams in the land.

Pick: Miami Dolphins -7

By DaveB

Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.