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Handicapping Week 6 Gambling Trends: ATS Stats, Angles, & NFL Matchups

2014 Cappers NFL Database Trends

Week five is in the books and we lost our remaining undefeated teams with Cincinnati and Arizona losing – neither looked very good.

This week is loaded with divisional game so lots of teams can make up ground and build their leads. Lots of short numbers too so focus on who is going to win as much as the spread.

Keep checking in with us daily for more FREE insider knowledge. We’re here to help you beat your man!

NFL Handicappers Trend Analysis

Capperspicks is your source for NFL & football gambling picks and handicapping tips all season long!

Today we want to point out other NFL wagering angles that have produced results in recent years. So having said that, here are some NFL week 6 against the spread, Over / Under and Head to Head NFL trends we feel you should be keeping your eye on for some KEY NFL Week 6 matchups.

Let’s have a look at some of the key games coming up in Week 5.

Detroit vs. Minnesota

Sunday October 12
1:00PM
TCF Bank Stadium – Minneapolis, MN
Detroit -3

Detroit

  • Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Minnesota

  • Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Vikings are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
  • Over is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 games in Week 6.

Head to Head

  • Lions are 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
  • Underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Lions are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

The loss last week by Detroit makes this a nice value situation for the Lions. Bridgewater may be back but I still don’t like Minnesota.

New England vs. Buffalo

Sunday October 12
1:00PM
Rich Stadium – Buffalo, NY
Pick

New England

  • Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Patriots are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Buffalo

  • Under is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 6.
  • Under is 5-0 in Bills last 5 games overall.

Head to Head

  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Buffalo.
  • Favorite is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 meetings.

This will be a true indicator of how things really are for New England. Will they let Buffalo has this one? Are the Bills good enough to take it.

Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland

Sunday October 12
1:00PM
FirstEnergy Stadium – Cleveland, OH
Cleveland -2.5

Pittsburgh

  • Under is 6-0 in Steelers last 6 games in October.
  • Over is 7-1 in Steelers last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Cleveland

  • Over is 4-0 in Browns last 4 games overall.
  • Browns are 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Over is 5-0 in Browns last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Head to Head

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Believe it or not these franchises might be heading in different direction…which would be good for Cleveland. Still I am having a hard time believing in the Browns as a favourite.

Dallas vs. Seattle

Sunday October 12
4:25PM
CenturyLink Field – Seattle, WA
Seattle -8.5

Dallas

  • Under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Seattle

  • Over is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
  • Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Head to Head

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle.
  • Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Betting against the champs at home is never a good idea. That spread my look enticing but I am not going to bet against the Seahawks with still question mark Dallas.

New York Giants vs. Philadelphia

Sunday October 12
8:30PM
Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, PA
Philadelphia -2.5

New York

  • Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games in Week 6.
  • Under is 9-2 in Giants last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Philadelphia

  • Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-1 in Eagles last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Head to Head

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.
  • Road team is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
  • Underdog is 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 meetings.

It is hard not to like this short home favourite. I want to believe in the Giants but I am not quite there yet.

San Francisco vs. St. Louis

Monday October 13
8:30PM
Edward Jones Dome – St. Louis, MO
San Francisco -3.5

San Francisco

  • Under is 5-0 in 49ers last 5 road games.
  • Over is 5-0 in 49ers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • 49ers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Monday games.

St. Louis

  • Under is 4-0 in Rams last 4 vs. NFC West.
  • Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Rams are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head to Head

Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

San Francisco is starting to look like the team we thought they would be. They have a slew of injured players and you have to wonder if it will catch up to them. But the half point now or wait.

Check out our Updated NFL Week 6 Odds.



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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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