2014 Cappers NFL Database Trends
Thursday had the best slate I can remember in a while, and now we get a tasty dessert. Sunday ain’t bad either this week. Its just too bad Monday is a dud. Well enjoy Week 13.
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Let’s have a look at some of the key games coming up in Week 12.
Cleveland vs. Buffalo
Sunday November 230
1:00PM
Rich Stadium – Buffalo, NY
Bills -2, 41.5
Cleveland
* Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 games following a S.U. win.
* Browns are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 vs. AFC.
Buffalo
* Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
* Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
* Under is 7-1 in Bills last 8 games in November.
Head to Head
* Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
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The Bills just might be back in the race with a win and should be thankful to play a home game at home. I think that is enough to like them here. The Browns barely got by Atlanta last week and probably should have lost.
San Diego vs. Baltimore
Sunday November 30
1:00PM
M&T Bank Stadium – Baltimore, MD
Ravens -5, 44.5
San Diego
* Chargers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
* Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
* Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Baltimore
* Ravens are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
* Over is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
Head to Head
* Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
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Both of these teams are tracking for the playoffs but only one can likely make it. Baltimore -5 right now and I don’t like those dead numbers so I am leaning to the underdog at the moment.
New England vs. Green Bay
Sunday November 30
4:25PM
Lambeau Field – Green Bay, WI
Packers -3, 59
New England
* Patriots are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
* Patriots are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
Green Bay
* Over is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games on grass.
* Over is 5-0 in Packers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 5-0 in Packers last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
I think more than home field is separating these teams right now so I will gladly take the Packers -3. The over, even though high, is also intriguing. Unless it is a blizzard.
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Denver vs. Kansas City
Sunday November 30
8:30PM
Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, MO
Broncos -1, 49.5
Denver
* Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 vs. AFC.
* Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 games on grass.
* Over is 7-0 in Broncos last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Kansas City
* Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
* Chiefs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Head to Head
* Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
* Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Kansas City.
* Underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
This will be a stiff test for the Chiefs to see if they can keep up with Denver. Though they are a great home team I think the value is with the visitors. Denver -1 looks like a steal.
Check out our Updated NFL Week 13 Odds.
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