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Handicapping Week 12 Gambling Trends: ATS Stats, Angles, & NFL Matchups

2014 Cappers NFL Database Trends

Today we want to point out other NFL wagering angles that have produced results in recent years. So having said that, here are some NFL week 12 against the spread, Over / Under and Head to Head NFL trends we feel you should be keeping your eye on for some KEY NFL Week 12 matchups.

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NFL Handicappers Trend Analysis

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Let’s have a look at some of the key games coming up in Week 12.

Kansas City vs. Oakland

Thursday November 20
o.co Coliseum – Oakland, CA
8:30PM
Chiefs -7.5, 42.5

Kansas City

* Chiefs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC West.
* Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Oakland

* Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Over is 6-1-1 in Raiders last 8 games in November.
* Over is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Head to Head

Chiefs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Oakland.
Underdog is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Oakland.

It would be shame if KC was lame in this one.  I am not even sure if that is possible against the Raiders. Take the visitors even though that is a lot of chalk for this team.

Cleveland vs. Atlanta

Sunday November 23
Georgia Dome – Atlanta, GA
1:00PM
Falcons -3.5, 47

Cleveland

* Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 games following a ATS loss.
* Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
* Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Atlanta

* Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games following a ATS loss.
* Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
* Under is 5-0 in Falcons last 5 games in Week 12.

I think the Browns will respond to being back in an underdog role…and getting out of the cold. This game is suddenly super important with the Falcons tied for first in the NFC South. Take Cleveland.

Detroit vs. New England

Sunday November 23
Gillette Stadium – Foxboro, MA
1:00PM
Patriots -7, 48

Detroit

* Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
* Under is 7-0 in Lions last 7 games following a ATS loss.
* Under is 5-0 in Lions last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

New England

* Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Patriots are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

You have to wonder when the Lions offense will respond,  I think it could be this week as this one comes down to the final possession.  NE is probably a little overrated right now so take Detroit.

Arizona vs. Seattle

Sunday November 23
CenturyLink Field – Seattle, WA
4:05PM
Seahawks -6.5, 42

Arizona

* Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
* Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Seattle

* Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games in Week 12.
* Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Over is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 games on fieldturf.

Head to Head

* Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Seattle.
* Home team is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

This is a monster for both teams but more urgent for Seattle. Still I think that getting the team with the best record in the league at this number is a steal.

Miami vs. Denver

Sunday November 23
Sports Authority Field
4:25PM
Broncos -7, 49

Miami

* Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 12.
* Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
* Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.

Denver

* Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
* Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games on grass.
* Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 vs. AFC.

Head to Head

* Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Now might be the time to pounce on Denver as -7 at home looks pretty nice number against a Miami team just don’t like.

Dallas vs. New York

Sunday November 23
MetLife Stadium – Meadowlands, NJ
8:30PM
Cowboys -3, 47

Dallas

* Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
* Over is 4-0-1 in Cowboys last 5 games in November.
* Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

New York

* Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
* Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
* Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.

Head to Head

* Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
* Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
* Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in New York.

Dallas has to get this one done. The Giants are dead in the water this season but they might rise up to take on a rival. Dallas is the play here.

Baltimore vs. New Orleans

Monday November 24
Mercedes Superdome – New Orleans, LA
8:30PM
Saints -3, 50

Baltimore

* Under is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games in Week 12.
* Ravens are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Ravens are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

New Orleans

* Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
* Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games.
* Over is 5-1 in Saints last 6 games on fieldturf.

At this low number you have to take the Saints don’t you?  They can’t possibly lose three games in a row in their dome right.  Only -3.

Check out our Updated NFL Week 12 Odds.



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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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